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Prediction markets for Teles
OptionVotes
4998
559
Hunger Games with Teleoperated Robots, before 2028?
Oct 30, 3:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
15.84%chance
414917
OptionVotes
2305
434
Will Euclid space telescope lower my credence in the standard model of cosmology?
Jul 23, 4:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
49.74%chance
321956
OptionVotes
6059
5939
Will an all AI system be used for real-time fact checking during a televised US presidential debate before 2029?
Jun 6, 10:21 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
32.61%chance
271389
OptionVotes
1167
885
OptionVotes
1109
901
Will there be a televised match between a robot and a top-10 human tennis player by 2035?
Nov 23, 11:30 PMJan 1, 1:00 AM
49.88%chance
21647
OptionVotes
1055
929
Will humanity start building a Lunar Crater Radio Telescope before 2040?
Sep 3, 11:27 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
33.22%chance
17626
OptionVotes
1009
962
Will a televised football (soccer) match between humanoid robots and professional humans occur before 2030?
Mar 22, 6:45 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
27.95%chance
17621
OptionVotes
1032
811
Pavel Durov no longer CEO of Telegram by January 1st, 2028
Dec 12, 3:21 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM
30.08%chance
7538
OptionVotes
1524
656
Will @tooawful on telegram be found dead before sept?
Jul 21, 3:47 AMAug 31, 11:59 PM
36.78%chance
5518
OptionVotes
1311
763
Will a televised American Football match between teams of humanoid robots occur before 2035?
Mar 22, 5:57 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
33.53%chance
14431
OptionVotes
1007
959
OptionVotes
1015
987
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