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Top stories

Tesla Contains Battery-Cell Fire at German Gigafactory Without Halting Output

Tesla Contains Battery-Cell Fire at German Gigafactory Without Halting Output

Authors

9

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Tesla

Tesla has more fully autonomous rides than Waymo in 2026?

Jun 11, 5:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.5%chance

5621045650

OptionVotes

YES

NO

46103

2172

In what year will Tesla's robotaxi become commercially operational in the US?

May 27, 4:25 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

143189907

OptionProbability

2026

2027

2028

2025

2029

2030

Other

2024

90

3

2

1

1

1

1

0

Will Tesla (TSLA) stock price be above 2000 by the end of 2027? (Ark Invest price target - base case)

Apr 21, 4:34 AMDec 31, 6:00 PM

5%chance

5793334

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3147

765

Will there be a functional Tesla bot in Mars by 2034?

Jan 23, 12:10 AMJan 2, 2:59 AM

26.23%chance

7974410

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1106

925

Will Elon Musk get more than half of his 2018 $55 billion Tesla pay package

Jan 31, 4:19 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

99.2%chance

6832494

OptionVotes

NO

YES

15471

277

Will Tesla's Cybercab be released by 2030 with a sticker price of $30,000 or less?

Dec 1, 8:49 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10.87%chance

3328342

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2863

349

Will Tesla declare bankruptcy or be acquired by the end of 2027?

Apr 29, 1:52 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

17.47%chance

4411196

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1952

1945

The First Delivered Tesla with Unsupervised FSD will...

Dec 5, 5:27 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

107811

OptionProbability

Have a front facing bumper camera.

Have a steering wheel.

Have a screen in the back row.

Run on a AI4/HW4 computer.

Run on a AI5 computer.

Be a Two Seater.

77

75

69

64

41

27

Will Tesla sell >$1B of humanoid robots by 2030?

Oct 1, 2:00 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

29%chance

677033

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1248

850

Tesla has more fully autonomous rides than Waymo in 2027?

Sep 2, 8:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.43%chance

121750

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4095

1814

Will Daniel Lord still be living in a Tesla by the end of October?

Aug 22, 11:03 PMOct 31, 11:59 PM

62.21%chance

241358

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5320

4950

Will Tesla Emissions end at?

Mar 8, 9:19 PMDec 31, 9:18 PM

00

OptionProbability

Below 1.1

1.1 - 1.2

1.2 - 1.3

1.3 - 1.4

1.4 - 1.5

Above 1.5

17

17

17

17

17

17

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 21, 2025
Aug 21, 2025
Germany
Automobile
Business
Tesla Contains Battery-Cell Fire at German Gigafactory Without Halting Output
Authors
9
1 year ago

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