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Top stories

Tesla Contains Battery-Cell Fire at German Gigafactory Without Halting Output

Tesla Contains Battery-Cell Fire at German Gigafactory Without Halting Output

Authors

9

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Tesla

Tesla has more fully autonomous rides than Waymo in 2026?

Jun 11, 5:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.37%chance

5551020252

OptionVotes

YES

NO

33103

3025

In what year will Tesla's robotaxi become commercially operational in the US?

May 27, 4:25 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

143189174

OptionProbability

2026

2027

2025

2028

2029

2030

Other

2024

91

3

1

1

1

1

1

0

Will Tesla (TSLA) stock price be above 2000 by the end of 2027? (Ark Invest price target - base case)

Apr 21, 4:34 AMDec 31, 6:00 PM

5.55%chance

5593060

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2873

780

Will there be a functional Tesla bot in Mars by 2034?

Jan 23, 12:10 AMJan 2, 2:59 AM

28.08%chance

7774340

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1036

951

Will Tesla become the top-selling car manufacturer in 2027?

Aug 19, 11:35 AMMar 1, 10:59 PM

7.23%chance

13743170

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5186

1322

Will Elon Musk get more than half of his 2018 $55 billion Tesla pay package

Jan 31, 4:19 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

99.2%chance

6832494

OptionVotes

NO

YES

15471

277

Will Tesla's Cybercab be released by 2030 with a sticker price of $30,000 or less?

Dec 1, 8:49 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10.05%chance

3228319

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2992

334

Will Tesla declare bankruptcy or be acquired by the end of 2027?

Apr 29, 1:52 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

18%chance

4011094

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1965

1887

The First Delivered Tesla with Unsupervised FSD will...

Dec 5, 5:27 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

107653

OptionProbability

Have a front facing bumper camera.

Have a steering wheel.

Have a screen in the back row.

Run on a AI4/HW4 computer.

Run on a AI5 computer.

Be a Two Seater.

77

77

69

64

41

26

Will Tesla sell >$1B of humanoid robots by 2030?

Oct 1, 2:00 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

35.06%chance

656801

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1048

944

What market cap will Tesla reach before 2036?

Nov 8, 12:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8615

OptionProbability

$ 2 trillion

$ 3 trillion

$ 4 trillion

$ 6 trillion

$ 8.5 trillion

88

73

65

34

21

Will Tesla Emissions end at?

Mar 8, 9:19 PMDec 31, 9:18 PM

00

OptionProbability

Below 1.1

1.1 - 1.2

1.2 - 1.3

1.3 - 1.4

1.4 - 1.5

Above 1.5

17

17

17

17

17

17

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 21, 2025
Aug 21, 2025
Germany
Automobile
Business
Tesla Contains Battery-Cell Fire at German Gigafactory Without Halting Output
Authors
9
1 year ago

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