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Prediction markets for Tesla
Tesla has more fully autonomous rides than Waymo in 2026?
Jun 11, 5:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
3.17%chance
5701074185
OptionVotes
55330
1810
In what year will Tesla's robotaxi become commercially operational in the US?
May 27, 4:25 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
143239648
OptionProbability
99
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Will Tesla (TSLA) stock price be above 2000 by the end of 2027? (Ark Invest price target - base case)
Apr 21, 4:34 AMDec 31, 6:00 PM
5%chance
5893335
OptionVotes
3148
765
Will there be a functional Tesla bot in Mars by 2034?
Jan 23, 12:10 AMJan 2, 2:59 AM
26.23%chance
7974410
OptionVotes
1106
925
Will Elon Musk get more than half of his 2018 $55 billion Tesla pay package
Jan 31, 4:19 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
99.2%chance
6832531
OptionVotes
15434
277
OptionVotes
1138
780
Will Tesla declare bankruptcy or be acquired by the end of 2027?
Apr 29, 1:52 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
20.92%chance
4611440
OptionVotes
2030
1618
OptionProbability
77
76
69
62
39
26
OptionProbability
66
51
28
26
Tesla has more fully autonomous rides than Waymo in 2027?
Sep 2, 8:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
41.81%chance
141900
OptionVotes
4004
1877
Will Daniel Lord still be living in a Tesla by the end of October?
Aug 22, 11:03 PMDec 1, 12:59 AM
62.43%chance
251389
OptionVotes
5350
4932
OptionProbability
17
17
17
17
17
17
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