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Prediction markets for Tesla
Tesla has more fully autonomous rides than Waymo in 2026?
Jun 11, 5:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
12.49%chance
498762125
OptionVotes
26489
3780
In what year will Tesla's robotaxi become commercially operational in the US?
May 27, 4:25 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
140174415
OptionProbability
71
14
4
3
3
3
1
1
Will Tesla (TSLA) stock price be above 2000 by the end of 2027? (Ark Invest price target - base case)
Apr 21, 4:34 AMDec 31, 6:00 PM
5.91%chance
5592910
OptionVotes
2723
789
Will there be a functional Tesla bot in Mars by 2034?
Jan 23, 12:10 AMJan 2, 2:59 AM
28.06%chance
7674318
OptionVotes
1037
951
Will Elon Musk get more than half of his 2018 $55 billion Tesla pay package
Jan 31, 4:19 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
99.25%chance
6831737
OptionVotes
16227
271
Will Tesla's Cybercab be released by 2030 with a sticker price of $30,000 or less?
Dec 1, 8:49 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
6.75%chance
3028208
OptionVotes
3718
269
Will Tesla have more autonomous vehicles providing ridehailing than Waymo on Jan 2nd 2027
Jun 25, 10:30 AMJan 2, 11:59 PM
40%chance
7914918
OptionVotes
1225
817
Will Tesla declare bankruptcy or be acquired by the end of 2027?
Apr 29, 1:52 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
14.21%chance
379720
OptionVotes
2381
1871
OptionVotes
1038
949
OptionProbability
77
76
74
61
44
34
OptionProbability
88
50
41
34
21
OptionProbability
17
17
17
17
17
17
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