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Prediction markets for Tesla
Tesla has more fully autonomous rides than Waymo in 2026?
Jun 11, 5:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
9.82%chance
540866697
OptionVotes
30327
3302
In what year will Tesla's robotaxi become commercially operational in the US?
May 27, 4:25 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
140175462
OptionProbability
70
14
4
3
3
3
1
1
Will Tesla (TSLA) stock price be above 2000 by the end of 2027? (Ark Invest price target - base case)
Apr 21, 4:34 AMDec 31, 6:00 PM
5.55%chance
5593060
OptionVotes
2873
780
Will there be a functional Tesla bot in Mars by 2034?
Jan 23, 12:10 AMJan 2, 2:59 AM
28.08%chance
7774340
OptionVotes
1036
951
Will Elon Musk get more than half of his 2018 $55 billion Tesla pay package
Jan 31, 4:19 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
99.21%chance
6832422
OptionVotes
15543
276
Will Tesla's Cybercab be released by 2030 with a sticker price of $30,000 or less?
Dec 1, 8:49 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
9.51%chance
3128309
OptionVotes
3084
324
Will Tesla have more autonomous vehicles providing ridehailing than Waymo on Jan 2nd 2027
Jun 25, 10:30 AMJan 2, 11:59 PM
23%chance
9125281
OptionVotes
1831
547
Will Tesla declare bankruptcy or be acquired by the end of 2027?
Apr 29, 1:52 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
15.71%chance
379919
OptionVotes
2160
1910
OptionVotes
1048
944
OptionProbability
77
76
74
61
44
34
OptionProbability
95
73
65
48
34
OptionProbability
17
17
17
17
17
17
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