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Prediction markets for Till
OptionVotes
1572
271
Will I limit myself to one warm shower or bath per week at home till EOY?
Sep 28, 10:30 AMDec 31, 11:20 AM
81.95%chance
82426
OptionVotes
2131
469
Will Mark Zuckerberg cure all human desises till the end of the century?
Oct 23, 12:36 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
8.64%chance
151463
OptionVotes
1311
943
Will we have androids with full human labor capabilities under 10K$ till 2030?
Jan 6, 5:15 AMApr 30, 5:59 PM
9.95%chance
191232
OptionVotes
1217
940
OptionVotes
273
180
Will Scaling Laws for Neural Language Model continue to hold till the end of 2027?
Dec 27, 6:36 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM
66.81%chance
181014
OptionVotes
1121
924
Will the Chinese communist party stay in power till 2033?
Sep 19, 7:44 PMJan 2, 10:59 PM
86.06%chance
18648
OptionVotes
1010
970
Will my portfolio outperform the S&P 500 from now till December 31st, 2026?
Dec 6, 3:40 AMDec 31, 3:35 AM
47.13%chance
3250
OptionVotes
1059
944
OptionVotes
1006
891
Will I remain undefeated in Rock Paper Scissors till 2030?
Jun 30, 9:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
42.75%chance
577
OptionVotes
116
86
Will ""Buckle up bucko, this ain't over till it's o..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Jul 6, 5:28 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
18.44%chance
271
OptionVotes
1047
754
Will it be confirmed there is no clear difference in flushing Cannabis plants compared to running nutes till harvest?
Apr 27, 4:21 AMApr 20, 9:20 PM
61.1%chance
351
OptionVotes
184
141
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