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Top stories

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Prediction markets for Tim Cook

Tim Cook's last day as Apple CEO?

Dec 11, 9:30 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

1923477

OptionProbability

Q3 2026

2025 - Q1 2026

Q2 2026

Q4 2026

Q1 - Q2 2027

Q3 - Q4 2027

Q1 - Q2 2028

Q3 - Q4 2028

2029

2030+

99

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

When will Tim Cook (CEO of Apple) retire from his current role?

Dec 26, 10:19 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

5215433

OptionProbability

2026

2024

2025

2027+

100

0

0

0

Will Tim Cook cease to be CEO of Apple before the end of 2026?

Jan 1, 5:46 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

99%chance

655593

OptionVotes

NO

YES

995

10

Will Tim Cook continue as CEO of Apple through 2030?

Jan 8, 4:56 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

1%chance

161941

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1724

18

Tim Cook stock

Apr 9, 8:34 AMApr 10, 3:59 AM

181868

OptionProbability

YES

NO

321

303

Will Tim Cook step down as Apple CEO in 2026?

Nov 25, 8:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

201749

OptionProbability

Yes, in Second Half (Jul–Dec)

Yes, in First Half (Jan–Jun)

No, Not in 2026

Other

99

0

0

0

Will Tim Cook cease to be CEO of Apple before 2030?

Jul 18, 6:15 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

99%chance

51738

OptionVotes

NO

YES

995

10

Will Tim Cook have been CEO of Apple 5 years before his death? (aka will Tim be dead within 5yrs)

Jan 3, 8:19 PMApr 23, 7:57 PM

4.51%chance

6398

OptionVotes

YES

NO

460

22

Will Tim Cook be alive through the end of 2030?

Jan 23, 1:49 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

77.42%chance

9187

OptionVotes

NO

YES

183

130

Will Tim Cook be alive through the end of 2060?

Jan 23, 1:50 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

37.3%chance

745

OptionVotes

YES

NO

142

120

Will Tim Cook be alive through the end of 2050?

Jan 23, 1:50 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

58.6%chance

512

OptionVotes

NO

YES

120

102

Will Tim Cook be alive through the end of 2040?

Jan 23, 1:50 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

58.37%chance

512

OptionVotes

NO

YES

120

102

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