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Prediction markets for Tobias Lütke
Will the majority of new cars sold be electric vehicles by the end of 2030?
Sep 1, 11:59 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
48.43%chance
447130681
OptionVotes
3258
2837
Will an 'AI Bust' or 'AI Winter' Occur by the End of 2025?
Jun 11, 12:13 PMDec 11, 10:59 PM
3.84%chance
8728473
OptionVotes
3718
758
Will we have flying cars commercially available by the year 2035?
Aug 25, 12:35 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
31.15%chance
6212367
OptionVotes
1039
903
Will 50%+ of new cars sold in USA be Electric Cars by the end of 2030?
Oct 10, 1:48 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM
48.86%chance
5510501
OptionVotes
1138
807
Will a human mission successfully land on Mars before the end of 2035?
Sep 18, 1:51 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM
24%chance
577396
OptionVotes
1407
798
Will a human mission successfully land on the Moon again by the end of 2026?
Aug 23, 7:30 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
2.8%chance
254541
OptionVotes
3264
844
Will Apple still be The Largest Company in The World by the end of 2030?
Oct 2, 5:24 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
33.46%chance
231550
OptionVotes
1098
932
Will there be >1 kg of sample material sent to Earth from Mars by 2035?
Sep 12, 6:41 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM
65.31%chance
171471
OptionVotes
1504
232
Might a major country reach 100% digital currency adoption for everyday transactions by the end of 2028?
Aug 23, 6:46 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
27.22%chance
141390
OptionVotes
1526
657
Will robots become our primary household chefs by the year 2035?
Aug 25, 12:36 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
12.96%chance
241183
OptionVotes
1397
890
Trump suggests he is or would be a good/the best dictator
Sep 22, 7:43 AMDec 31, 8:39 AM
57.43%chance
161146
OptionVotes
1162
861
Will the new Harry Potter series premiere before the end of 2026?
Aug 29, 11:59 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
7.86%chance
15669
OptionVotes
524
22
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