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Prediction markets for Tobias Lütke
Will the majority of new cars sold be electric vehicles by the end of 2030?
Sep 1, 11:59 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
46.26%chance
456133058
OptionVotes
3402
2716
Will 50%+ of new cars sold in USA be Electric Cars by the end of 2030?
Oct 10, 1:48 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM
40.04%chance
5914154
OptionVotes
1325
657
Will we have flying cars commercially available by the year 2035?
Aug 25, 12:35 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
33.18%chance
6512468
OptionVotes
977
933
Will a human mission successfully land on Mars before the end of 2035?
Sep 18, 1:51 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM
24%chance
577396
OptionVotes
1407
798
Will the new Harry Potter series premiere before the end of 2026?
Aug 29, 11:59 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
97.94%chance
252581
OptionVotes
1528
66
Might a major country reach 100% digital currency adoption for everyday transactions by the end of 2028?
Aug 23, 6:46 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
18.04%chance
151890
OptionVotes
2026
514
Will Joe Biden live to see the end of the US-Iran war?
Mar 20, 7:38 AMDec 31, 7:34 AM
73.28%chance
241595
OptionVotes
144
79
Will Apple still be The Largest Company in The World by the end of 2030?
Oct 2, 5:24 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
33.46%chance
231550
OptionVotes
1098
932
Will there be >1 kg of sample material sent to Earth from Mars by 2035?
Sep 12, 6:41 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM
65.31%chance
171471
OptionVotes
1504
232
Trump suggests he is or would be a good/the best dictator
Sep 22, 7:43 AMDec 31, 8:39 AM
51.49%chance
171372
OptionVotes
1030
971
Will robots become our primary household chefs by the year 2035?
Aug 25, 12:36 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
12.95%chance
251184
OptionVotes
1398
890
OptionProbability
15
15
15
15
15
15
12
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