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Prediction markets for Tobias Lütke
Will the majority of new cars sold be electric vehicles by the end of 2030?
Sep 1, 11:59 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
61%chance
441122128
OptionVotes
3697
2549
Will we have flying cars commercially available by the year 2035?
Aug 25, 12:35 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
32.78%chance
6112317
OptionVotes
989
927
Will 50%+ of new cars sold in USA be Electric Cars by the end of 2030?
Oct 10, 1:48 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM
50.43%chance
5410471
OptionVotes
1108
837
Will a human mission successfully land on Mars before the end of 2035?
Sep 18, 1:51 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM
25%chance
565934
OptionVotes
1359
814
Will a human mission successfully land on the Moon again by the end of 2026?
Aug 23, 7:30 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
5.38%chance
253516
OptionVotes
1769
904
Will there be >1 kg of sample material sent to Earth from Mars by 2035?
Sep 12, 6:41 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM
65.31%chance
171471
OptionVotes
1504
232
Will Apple still be The Largest Company in The World by the end of 2030?
Oct 2, 5:24 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
36.92%chance
221450
OptionVotes
998
986
Will robots become our primary household chefs by the year 2035?
Aug 25, 12:36 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
12.96%chance
241183
OptionVotes
1397
890
Might a major country reach 100% digital currency adoption for everyday transactions by the end of 2028?
Aug 23, 6:46 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
34.31%chance
131140
OptionVotes
1276
767
Who will have the highest number of robotaxis by 2029 (per capita) ?
May 1, 6:53 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
14802
OptionProbability
30
24
15
14
4
4
4
4
Will the new Harry Potter series premiere before the end of 2026?
Aug 29, 11:59 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
7.86%chance
15669
OptionVotes
524
22
Who will win a seat on the Judge Foundry board of directors in the 2025 election?
Aug 18, 5:42 AMSep 7, 10:59 PM
135
OptionProbability
66
66
66
59
50
50
50
50
50
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