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Truman News

    Prediction markets for Truman

    OptionProbability

    Imane Khelif is intersex

    The Jews control at least one nation's government

    Human didnt evolve from apes

    The 1% promoted culture wars to distract from class war

    Orgies by the wealthy elite as portrayed in 'Eyes Wide Shut'.

    DHMO in the water supply

    Osama bin Laden didn't act alone

    Santa is rigged

    Ticketmaster is in cahoots with organized scalpers

    That motherfucker WAS real (Tiffany Gomas was wrong the whole time)

    The P320 pistol has a design flaw allowing it to fire without pulling the trigger

    Orgies by the fucked-up poors as portrayed in "Eyes Wide Shut XXX" (2013)

    √-1 isn't real

    Atrazine works as an endocrine-disrupting chemical (EDC), converting testosterone to estrogen in the bodies of frogs leading to homosexual proclivities.

    Smartphones listen in on private conversations

    US security services use the Google Play Store as an attack vector for android devices

    Smart devices are almost always listening to your private conversations

    Lionel Messi never played for a Real football (soccer) team

    Groundhog Day is rigged

    That stock trading AI supposedly built by @SteveSokolowski is actually part of an elaborate scam

    The NBA rigs the draft lottery

    Dream faked the Manhunt videos

    Dead Internet theory

    John McAfee didn't kill himself

    Jeffrey Epstein didn't kill himself

    Some answers in this market are psyops to discredit all the others

    Joe/Hunter Biden took bribe to protect Burisma from investigation

    The UK security services are complicit in the coverup of a significant underage sex scandal closely linked to the monarchy, taking place in the UK in the period 1975-2015

    At least one UN recognised country is secretly controlled by a cabal following a religion shared by <5% of the country's population

    Covid 19 was made in a labradoodle

    The CCP is directly supporting drug cartel activity in the West

    Annie Altman's abuse claims

    Tiffany Gomas is not the same person as the TMINR lady in the video. She is a PSYOP for Barstool.

    Members of US government had prior knowledge of 9/11 and let it happen

    An adversary is intentionally causing hysteria over drone incidents to force the US/UK's hand into revealing their anti-drone tech

    The CIA killed JFK

    @strutheo is @notrickspringfield

    The New Zealand government had advance knowledge of the sinking of the Rainbow Warrior

    There are devices which have been used to alter the electric network frequency of a country in the Middle East to leave more identifiable traces in recorded video and audio clips

    Eating your veggies is bad for your health

    The CCP has a plan to exterminate a large number of people they consider to not be ethnically Chinese

    At least 3 of the members elected to the French lower house of Parliament in 2024 are Russian agents

    Covid was a deliberate test of pandemic preparedness in view of bacteriological war between China and the US

    The Obamas have a loveless marriage, kept together for optics only

    Bielefeld does not exist, but another city with the same name in the same place does

    This one makes me feel evil, so I ROT13'd it, use ROT13 to decode if you want to keep me company in Hell: Ybh Truevt'f ergverzrag jnf npghnyyl na ZYO-znaqngrq fhfcrafvba

    Gamergate was right

    The US/UK/French security services are sinking Russian ships in response to attacks on undersea cables and other hybrid warfare activities (since 2022)

    Deepwater Horizon explosion due to sabotage

    Rory Stewart worked for MI6

    The US, UK and French security services have collectively assassinated at least 10 German citizens in Germany since 2022

    China made covid 19 in a lab

    Michael Jordan's first NBA retirement was actually a forced suspension.

    FDR deliberately left Pearl Harbor vulnerable, in order to goad Americans into war

    Princess Diana was assassinated

    As of June 2025, JD Vance is secretly making plans to use future ASI to sieze power and become eternal world dictator

    Shakespeare didn’t write his own plays

    Germany has a well-prepared plan (in 2024-) to start mass producing nuclear weapons in <6 months (in case things go bad geopolitically)

    Youssoufa Moukoko (soccer player) was born earlier than he claims (earlier than 2004)

    The U.S. military is the number one customer of Glitterex (a glitter company) but doesn't want anyone to know because it hurts their masculine image.

    The Romance languages are not descended from Classical Latin

    A pharma company has a much better treatment for cancer that they are keeping secret because it would compete with their existing products

    Hellenistic science advanced meta-thermodynamics to derive 𝑄 = 𝑛𝐶Δ𝑇(1 + 𝐻⊙⋆) using the Holtzman Generator

    Bitcoin was created by a US three letter agency

    My dog went to live on farm that was full of other dogs that he could run with and play with and he was much happier than staying with us and peeing on the rug.

    lɐǝɹ ʇ,usᴉ ɐᴉlɐɹʇsn∀

    The American govt is actually a totalitarian dictatorship

    Eliezer wrote The Erogamer

    Many vaccines on the standard CDC childhood immunization schedule have serious negative side effects (net negative on health) for at least 5% of the population.

    Hellenistic scientists could derive the correct refraction law by minimizing light travel time

    Dominic Cummings was/is a Russian spy

    Elon Musk used Starlink to rig the 2024 election

    Trump committed sex offenses against minors on Epstein Island

    Circa 1920 civilizational collapse (c.f. "Whither Tartaria?")

    Marilyn Manson had a rib removed in the late 1990s

    Non-human intelligence affecting events on Earth is not extraterrestrial "aliens," and humans are incorrect in believing that reality consists only of the Universe.

    Lee Harvey Oswald didn't act alone.

    Hellenistic science developed statistical mechanics to the point of being able to derive PV=nRT

    The Hellenistic civilization was aware of the existence of Azeroth

    Sue Gray was a spy

    Harold Holt murdered

    Finno-Korean Hyperwar was real

    A cure for cancer has already been found

    The Clintons assasinated their rivals

    Ogopogo and the Yeti faked their relationship (to boost CFL ratings, to increase Taylor Swift's movie sales, support Trudeau's reelection, b/c Ogopogo is PSY, etc.)

    Aluminum cookware actually *does* cause Alzheimers.

    The 1% promoted class war to distract from culture wars

    The Hawk Tuah meme is a North Korean psyop

    The hellenistic civilization was aware of the existence of the American continent

    The pharma industry has a better version of Viagra that they keep secret to keep their profits up

    "Geoterrorism" (weather modification for terrorism) is real as of 2024

    Israel killed JFK

    US security services asked Microsoft to buy Skype and alter the software so they could target users more easily

    Biden and/or US govt did Jan 6 (exclude trump)

    The NBA rigged Shaq's free throws

    Jet fuel *can* melt steel beams, but the official 9/11 narrative is sus because chemtrail chemicals cannot

    The NFL is rigged

    South Korea has had nuclear weapons since 2023

    Xi Jinping had advance knowledge of the Hawk Tuah meme

    Mossad uses Hellenistic technology borrowed from the North Sentinelese

    Hellenistic scientists could derive the correct warp-induced refraction law by exceeding Warp Factor 9 under Cochrane’s Theorem

    Ogopogo is real

    A support network of close friendships is bad for your health

    COVID-19 vaccine is net negative for health

    Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce faked their relationship (to boost NFL ratings, to increase Tay's movie sales, legitimize mRNA vaccines, b/c she is a PSYOP, etc.)

    Shakespeare is not real - they claim he was married to Anne Hathaway but she's like only 40 or so

    Exercise is bad for your health

    Skin cancer is caused by a lack of melanin, regardless of sunlight exposure

    covid-19 vaccine is net negative for health for people who are under 35, with no aggravating condition, and not obese

    Bitcoin was created by a 3 letter Hellenistic agency

    Bush did 9/11

    QAnon

    Allen Iverson invented A.I.

    The government iodizes the water and fluoridates salt when it should be the other way around

    QR codes are satanic

    Mossad releases video and audio clips, intended to be of interest to their adversaries, which play special sounds that humans don't notice

    China purposely spread covid 19 having intended it to escape the lab

    Charles Manson had a rib removed in the late 1990s

    Getting 8 hours of sleep is bad for your health

    Tom Brady's retirement was actually an NFL mandated suspension

    Hitler killed himself because the alternative was going to Argentina

    Jerry Sandusky is innocent.

    Skin cancer is caused by sunblock, not sunlight

    Hellenistic science knew of quantum mechanics

    Lee Harvey Oswald was an agent of the Hellenistic Civilization

    South Sudan has had nukes since 2023

    Famous Israeli agent Eisseberg was behind the sinking of the Titanic

    xkcd 690: on 9/11, one of the towers was hit by a plane and the other was a controlled demolition

    Airplane trails have toxic chemicals (chemtrails)

    @HenriThunberg was paid to create the James Bond market to promote the upcoming movie

    Marilyn Monroe had a rib removed in the late 1990s

    Rationalussy isn't real.

    Chinese people really *are* just saying the n-word.

    Tupac is still alive in 2024

    Bielefeld does not exist

    Walt Disney was cryogenically frozen, and they made the movie Frozen so that when people googled 'Walt Disney Frozen' the movie would come up first

    The Hellenistic Civilization made COVID-19 in a lab

    The North Sentinelese have a non-secret aircraft carrier, they have announced it to the world loud and clear. Problem is: nobody speaks their language.

    US government is harboring aliens

    Monica Lewinsky was a Mossad agent

    Birds aren't real

    China was not genociding Uyghurs

    Effective Altruism is a scam and they just embezzle all the donations

    Tiger Woods is a militant separatist Tamil

    The Mandella Effect in general is real

    The North Sentinelese have a secret aircraft carrier

    Hurricane Katrina caused by HAARP

    The 2020 US presidential election was rigged/stolen

    The CIA killed Tupac, and JFK is still alive as of 2024

    carbon dioxide isn't the main cause of global warming

    You personally live in Truman Show style captivity

    The Romance languages are not descended from Latin

    The illuminati runs the world

    *All* health care is net negative for health

    The moon landing was fake

    climate change isn't human caused

    Michelle Obama is a man

    Jeffrey Epstein is still alive

    Brazilian money is not real

    The Hellenistic civilization invented USB

    The North Sentinelese are remnants of the Hellenistic civilization

    Yeti is real or similar creature

    The earth is a dodecahedron

    Climate change isn’t real

    Skibidi Toilet is real

    Q is Putin

    It used to be spelled Berenstein Bears

    Africa isn't real

    Christiano Ronaldo never played for a Real football (soccer) team

    There is no female orgasm

    The North Sentinelese are concealing super-advanced technology.

    The earth is flat

    Hitler didn't kill himself he went to Argentina

    *All* vaccines are net negative for health

    End of the world in 2012

    Earth is hollow

    Justin Trudeau is actually Black and has been wearing "whiteface" all along.

    Finland isn't real

    Australia isn't real.

    5G will kill all vaccinated people once the towers are switched on

    Nuclear weapons have never existed

    Flossing is bad for your health

    Brushing your teeth is bad for your health

    HIV doesn’t cause AIDS

    Taylor Swift and Mary Berg are the same person

    The Epcot sphere was built by aliens as some sort of energy device powering the rat empire.

    Nauru has had a working fusion reactor since 2001

    95

    91

    90

    88

    83

    80

    76

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    69

    61

    52

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    37

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    3

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    3

    3

    3

    3

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    3

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    OptionProbability

    Officials Say

    Trump Wins

    Court Orders

    Found dead

    Texas Fire

    Civil war

    Olympic Gold

    Climate Change

    Bird Flu

    Supreme Court

    Trade War

    Former President

    Southern Border

    Talks Between

    Officials Declare

    On record

    First Ever

    Talks Begin

    Trump Ordered

    New report

    Earthquake Kills

    Ceasefire Agreement

    Lawmakers Move

    Take Home

    Drone Strike

    Inflation down

    In Setback

    Assassination Attempt

    declares war

    Artificial Intelligence

    Officials Deny

    Tension Builds

    Republicans Lose

    National Emergency

    nuclear weapon

    Death Toll

    Most Ever

    Trump guilty

    at Odds

    Third attempt

    Second Term

    Generation Alpha

    European Union

    Landmark Decision

    Dalai Lama

    Strikes continue

    Feared dead following

    Officials Insist

    court allows

    Border Crisis

    A.I. Legislation

    Impeachment Inquiry

    Demands Justice

    Takes Gold

    With Biden

    Tipping Point

    Olympic Debut

    Summer Olympic Games

    Hoping To

    Sudden Death

    In Historic Decision

    Musk donates

    Cancer cure

    Fake news

    Keir Starmer

    Vows to

    AI Czar

    threat to democracy

    General Condemns

    Officials Worry

    Chemical weapon

    Highest Ever

    Swift Becomes

    Joins NATO

    Alleged genocide

    Nuclear war

    Biden Announces

    Homelessness ban

    market crashes

    nuclear bomb

    Kremlin Says

    Haley announces

    Tempers Flare

    trump’s assassin

    Double Knockout

    Supreme Court, 9-0

    Leaves NATO

    Carter Dead

    Ghost Trees

    Trump Convicted

    69 billion

    Harris Wins

    Revolutionary Song

    Artificial General Intelligence

    "French Fries"

    Occult hand

    Effective Altruism

    Biden Wins

    TikToker Found

    Trump Dead

    Apocalypse imminent

    Florida Man

    Holy hell

    Putin Dead

    Biden Dead

    owo what's this

    I Like Ike

    Astral Codex Ten

    Manifold Markets

    Williamson Wins

    Africa Toto

    General Condoms

    Dewey Defeats Truman

    En passant forced

    Titanic 2 Sinks

    skibidi toilet

    never gonna give you up

    Rationalussy Cult

    "Vriska did nothing wrong"

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    96

    84

    83

    83

    82

    82

    80

    79

    79

    78

    77

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    77

    76

    76

    76

    75

    74

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    71

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    70

    70

    69

    69

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    69

    66

    65

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    64

    64

    62

    62

    62

    61

    57

    57

    55

    55

    52

    50

    50

    50

    49

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    45

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    40

    37

    37

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    32

    32

    31

    29

    28

    27

    27

    27

    23

    22

    19

    18

    18

    17

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    14

    14

    12

    12

    11

    10

    10

    10

    10

    8

    8

    7

    7

    7

    6

    5

    4

    3

    3

    3

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    OptionProbability

    Jimmy Carter

    Barack Obama

    William J. Clinton

    Franklin D. Roosevelt

    Harry S. Truman

    John F. Kennedy

    Ronald Reagan

    Lyndon B. Johnson

    Woodrow Wilson

    Ulysses S. Grant

    George H. W. Bush

    Andrew Jackson

    George W. Bush

    Herbert Hoover

    Theodore Roosevelt

    Thomas Jefferson

    Richard M. Nixon

    Donald J. Trump

    79

    70

    69

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    46

    38

    13

    When will the first Gen Z president be elected.

    Jun 27, 6:01 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM
    6162

    OptionProbability

    2050s

    2060s

    2040s

    2030s

    2020s

    37

    34

    14

    9

    5

    Will the USA pardon Eddie Slovik posthumously by the end of 2032?

    Jul 11, 4:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    16.3%chance
    3149

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    227

    44

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