Tyler News

Winklevoss Twins Donate $21 Million in Bitcoin to Pro-Trump Crypto PAC

9 months ago

Winklevoss Twins File to Take Gemini Public Amid Losses as Bitwise Completes First In-Kind Bitcoin Spot ETF Exchange

Stocks

Markets

Business

Winklevoss Twins File to Take Gemini Public Amid Losses as Bitwise Completes First In-Kind Bitcoin Spot ETF Exchange

9 months ago

Tyler, the Creator Unveils Camp Flog Gnaw 2025 Lineup via Puzzle

Music

Los Angeles

Culture

Tyler, the Creator Unveils Camp Flog Gnaw 2025 Lineup via Puzzle

9 months ago

Chile

Colombia

Music

Lollapalooza Chile and Colombia’s Estéreo Picnic Reveal 2026 Lineups

8 months ago

Music

San Francisco

Culture

Outside Lands Complaints Mount as Golden Gate Park Awaits 60,000-Person Finale

9 months ago

Will May 2024 be remembered as the month 'AI safety movement died' as per Tyler Cowen?

May 21, 12:49 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

4%chance

6411797

OptionVotes

YES

4902

204

Will Tyler Robinson be alive on December 31st, 2026?

Sep 12, 4:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

91.09%chance

237111

OptionVotes

YES

3197

313

Will we know who Satoshi Nakamoto is within two years of Tyler Cowen’s prediction?

Oct 23, 11:37 PMOct 24, 10:59 PM

10.57%chance

375756

OptionVotes

YES

2909

344

Tyler Robinson Sentence (first result)?

Sep 18, 11:47 PMSep 18, 11:40 PM

151251

OptionProbability

Prison for life without possibility of parole

Death penalty

Acquitted

Fixed term of years without possibility of parole

Prison for life with possibility of parole

Fixed term of years with possibility of parole

No result

Other

Will Tyler Cowen create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Jan 9, 6:38 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

14.5%chance

17950

OptionVotes

YES

1703

786

Tyler Robinson dies by judicial execution?

Sep 20, 4:46 AMSep 20, 4:42 AM

34.67%chance

6709

OptionVotes

YES

1373

728

Tyler Cowen thinks Claude 3 meets some definitions of AGI. Five years from now, will Claude be considered an early AGI?

Mar 7, 12:54 PMMar 8, 4:59 AM

10%chance

11650

OptionVotes

YES

631

170

Tyler Robinson sentenced to death by December 31, 2026

Oct 22, 7:18 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

10.01%chance

8295

OptionVotes

YES

300

Will a YuGiOh card sell for a record breaking price by Jan 1st 2027? (Current: $311,211 for Tyler the Great Warrior)

Nov 28, 10:06 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

62.79%chance

16231

OptionVotes

YES

1002

985

Will Tyler Cowen win a Nobel prize?

Oct 5, 6:36 PMDec 31, 7:32 PM

8.65%chance

4225

OptionVotes

YES

325

Will Tyler Arnold (2022 Forbes Under 30) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

Apr 20, 1:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18%chance

5191

OptionVotes

YES

239

112

Does the shortest possible universal program contain Tyler Cowen in it?

Sep 18, 7:56 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

65%chance

221

OptionVotes

YES

109

Latest stories

Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
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8 months ago
Aug 21, 2025
Aug 21, 2025
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9 months ago
Aug 20, 2025
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Winklevoss Twins Donate $21 Million in Bitcoin to Pro-Trump Crypto PAC
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9 months ago
Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18, 2025
Stocks
Markets
Business
Winklevoss Twins File to Take Gemini Public Amid Losses as Bitwise Completes First In-Kind Bitcoin Spot ETF Exchange
Authors
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9 months ago
Aug 15, 2025
Aug 15, 2025
Music
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Culture
Outside Lands Complaints Mount as Golden Gate Park Awaits 60,000-Person Finale
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11
9 months ago

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Will May 2024 be remembered as the month 'AI safety movement died' as per Tyler Cowen?

Will Tyler Robinson be alive on December 31st, 2026?

Will we know who Satoshi Nakamoto is within two years of Tyler Cowen’s prediction?

Tyler Robinson Sentence (first result)?

Will Tyler Cowen create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Tyler Robinson dies by judicial execution?

Tyler Cowen thinks Claude 3 meets some definitions of AGI. Five years from now, will Claude be considered an early AGI?

Tyler Robinson sentenced to death by December 31, 2026

Will a YuGiOh card sell for a record breaking price by Jan 1st 2027? (Current: $311,211 for Tyler the Great Warrior)

Will Tyler Cowen win a Nobel prize?

Will Tyler Arnold (2022 Forbes Under 30) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

Does the shortest possible universal program contain Tyler Cowen in it?

Latest stories

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