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Tyson News

    Prediction markets for Tyson

    Who is Dwarkesh's upcoming "biggest guest yet"?

    Aug 21, 7:36 PMDec 31, 5:59 PM
    12022710824

    OptionProbability

    Elon Musk

    Bill Gates

    Mr. Beast

    Barack Obama

    Jeff Bezos

    Other

    Sam Altman

    Ilya Sutskever

    Robert Caro

    Donald Trump

    Gwern Branwen

    Benjamin Netanyahu

    JD Vance

    pope Francis

    Jensen Huang

    Kamala Harris

    Buffett

    Volodymyr Zelenskyy

    Peter Thiel

    No one, the tweet was a joke or intended to attract advertisers without referring to someone specific

    Sarah Paine

    Satya Nadella

    Justin Trudeau

    Brian Shaw (_biggest_ guest yet?)

    Narendra Modi

    Xi Jinping

    Dalai Lama

    Taylor Swift

    Joe Biden

    Lebron James

    GPT-5

    Bill Clinton

    A basketball player

    Vladimir Putin

    Jesus Christ

    Rona Wang

    Jose Luis ricon

    Kettner Griswold

    James Koppel

    Sam Bankman-Fried

    Nancy Pelosi

    Rishi Sunak

    Keir Starmer

    Satoshi Nakomoto

    Jimmy Carter

    George W Bush

    Al Gore

    Michael Jackson

    your mom

    roon

    Mitt Romney

    one or both of his parents

    A new OpenAI AI model not called "GPT-5"

    Connor Duffy

    MBS

    Geoffrey Hinton

    Scott Alexander

    The Mountain (Icelandic strongman)

    Leonardo DiCaprio

    RFK Jr

    Sydney Sweeney

    growing_daniel

    greg16676935420

    Deadpool

    Terence Tao

    Shaq

    Oprah Winfrey

    Yoshua Bengio

    Sundar Pichai

    Scarlett Johansson

    Paul McCartney

    [duplicate]

    Neel Nanda

    King Charles

    Kim Jong Un

    Gavin Newsom

    Royal Palace

    [cancelled option]

    Daniel Yergin

    Peter Singer

    Gabe Newell

    Neil Gorsuch

    Stephen Breyer

    Dmitry Medvedev

    JK Rowling

    Shrek

    Sam Hyde

    [invalid answer] Multiple people e.g. a team from OpenAI

    Marques Brownlee

    Vivek Ramaswamy

    Donald Trump Jr.

    Ben Shindel

    Javier Milei

    Dylan Patel

    Joe Rogan

    Marc Andreessen

    Tim Cook

    Mike Tyson

    Jake Paul

    Matt Gaetz

    18

    15

    10

    8

    8

    7

    3

    3

    3

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    OptionProbability

    Mike Tyson

    Mike Perry

    Julio Cesar Chavez Jr.

    Canelo Alvarez

    Conor McGregor

    KSI

    Ryan Garcia

    Logan Paul

    Johnny Eblen

    Neeraj Goyat

    Nick Diaz

    Jorge Masvidal

    Vitor Belfort

    Francis Ngannou

    Floyd Mayweather

    100

    100

    99

    72

    58

    50

    46

    46

    46

    29

    24

    24

    24

    24

    5

    Will Mike Tyson fight Logan Paul?

    Nov 16, 5:39 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
    16.59%chance
    141289

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    2243

    446

    Is Mike Tyson's boxing career officially over?

    Nov 16, 11:00 AMNov 2, 4:59 AM
    69.34%chance
    14731

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    1504

    665

    Will Neil deGrasse Tyson become vegan before 2030?

    Jun 23, 12:36 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM
    19.68%chance
    14717

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    1224

    924

    (Hunter x Hunter 401+) Who is *his* child?

    Oct 5, 2:24 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
    1600

    OptionProbability

    Camilla

    Zhang Lei

    Tserriednich

    Tubeppa

    Tyson

    Luzurus

    Kacho

    Fugetsu

    Marayam

    Woble

    None of these

    Benjamin

    Halkenburg

    Momoze

    Salé-Salé

    7

    7

    7

    7

    7

    7

    7

    7

    7

    7

    7

    6

    6

    6

    5

    OptionProbability

    Delaware - Ryan Carty

    FIU - Willie Simmons

    Jacksonville State - Charles Kelly

    Kennesaw State - Jerry Mack

    Liberty - Jamey Chadwell

    Louisiana Tech - Sonny Cumbie

    Middle Tennessee - Derek Mason

    Missouri State - Ryan Beard

    New Mexico State - Tony Sanchez

    Sam Houston - Phil Longo

    UTEP - Scotty Walden

    Western Kentucky - Tyson Helton

    35

    35

    35

    35

    35

    35

    35

    35

    35

    35

    35

    35

    Will Tyson Fury and Francis Ngannou have a rematch before 2026?

    Feb 27, 7:04 AMJan 2, 1:29 PM
    4.61%chance
    3402

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    455

    22

    2025 AFL Coleman Medal winner

    Feb 1, 10:47 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM
    9383

    OptionProbability

    Jeremy Cameron

    Jesse Hogan

    Ben King

    Nick Larkey

    Other

    Charlie Curnow

    Jake Waterman

    Harry McKay

    Tyson Stengle

    Josh Treacy

    88

    2

    2

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    Will Tyson Fury win the rematch with Francis Ngannou?

    Feb 27, 7:09 AMJan 2, 1:29 PM
    4.82%chance
    5377

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    444

    23

    Will Mike Tyson return to his prime form before he dies?

    Nov 17, 1:53 PMNov 24, 10:59 PM
    9.41%chance
    8220

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    310

    32

    Will Mike Tyson ever fight again?

    Nov 16, 6:17 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
    33.19%chance
    977

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    142

    70

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