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Prediction markets for White
Will Vivek Ramaswamy Hold an Official Position in Trump’s White House?
Dec 27, 8:23 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM
9.6%chance
17541407
OptionVotes
7357
1014
Will LLMs be better than typical white-collar workers on all computer tasks before 2026?
Jun 2, 9:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
13.98%chance
9435177
OptionVotes
3428
757
OptionVotes
17070
123
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be mentioned or quoted in the White House briefing room within 5 years?
May 23, 1:11 PMJun 1, 3:59 AM
75.07%chance
14523253
OptionVotes
1735
576
Will AI existential risk be mentioned in the white house briefing room again by May 2029?
May 23, 1:08 PMMay 31, 3:59 AM
87.33%chance
367280
OptionVotes
2625
381
Will an effective accelerationist (e/acc) be in an important AI policy role for the White House before the end of 2025?
Jul 2, 11:46 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
54.05%chance
144432
OptionVotes
1085
922
Regardless of elections, will actual control of the White House switch parties in January 2029?
Jul 20, 8:28 PMFeb 2, 5:59 AM
53.96%chance
151698
OptionVotes
10382
9514
Will the 2028 Democratic nominee be a straight white male?
Mar 19, 12:28 AMJun 26, 6:59 AM
72.59%chance
201113
OptionVotes
1627
615
Will the champions of Super Bowl LX visit the White House after their win?
Feb 24, 2:53 PMMay 1, 3:59 AM
53.68%chance
7409
OptionVotes
1077
929
Will any scenes of The White Lotus season 4 be set at a Bilderberg Conference (or similar) event?
Mar 31, 4:38 AMMar 31, 10:59 PM
39.75%chance
5231
OptionVotes
1231
812
Will there be a non-white Republican Nominee before the end of 2032?
Feb 24, 5:58 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
27.54%chance
14207
OptionVotes
1061
965
Will a character from a previous season die in Season 4 of The White Lotus?
Apr 7, 3:29 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
50.25%chance
15
OptionVotes
1005
995
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