Winter News

Josh Willie Elected Tasmanian Labor Leader With Janie Finlay Deputy After Dean Winter No-Confidence Motion; Liberals Retain Power in Hung Parliament

9 months ago

aespa Previews “Rich Man” Mini-Album Ahead of 5 Sept. Launch

Korea

Music

Culture

aespa Previews “Rich Man” Mini-Album Ahead of 5 Sept. Launch

8 months ago

Will we have at least one more AI winter before AGI is realized?

Jan 24, 12:51 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

19%chance

255108336

OptionVotes

YES

2117

458

Will Winds of Winter (a song of ice and fire) be published before George R.R. Martin's death?

Oct 13, 12:47 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

50.13%chance

9720091

OptionVotes

YES

2092

1887

In which year would Zvi confirm that we've entered an "AI winter"?

Oct 26, 6:35 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

5714252

OptionProbability

2030+ or never

2026

2029

2028

2027

2025

2024

Will "Winds of Winter" hit bookstores before 2030?

Jun 12, 6:54 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

50%chance

297565

OptionVotes

YES

1000

Will an AI winter happen by 2030?

Mar 27, 10:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25%chance

1277166

OptionVotes

YES

1287

1228

Will the 2029 Asian Winter Games take place in Saudi Arabia?

Sep 12, 2:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.75%chance

144357

OptionVotes

YES

2822

Will humans deliberately cause an AI winter?

Mar 15, 2:15 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

24.82%chance

542279

OptionVotes

YES

988

973

Will one of these AI researchers claim we're in an AI winter before 2030?

Feb 22, 8:04 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

66.02%chance

381598

OptionVotes

YES

1002

985

Will Winds of Winter come out before George RR Martin dies?

Dec 24, 6:32 PMApr 1, 3:59 AM

40.1%chance

171532

OptionVotes

YES

1223

819

Will Preston Jacobs/SweetRobin's "The Winds of Winter" fan-fiction be completed before the real thing is announced?

Sep 30, 12:46 AMDec 30, 10:59 PM

42.2%chance

5710

OptionVotes

YES

1170

854

Will True Detective Season 5 be released before The Winds of Winter? (George R. R. Martin's next Game of Thrones Book)

Jan 17, 2:15 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

70.67%chance

17499

OptionVotes

YES

1159

920

In the winter of 2035-2036, will we get enough snow in Barriere, British Columbia to have a decent snowball fight?

Dec 11, 3:25 AMApr 1, 4:00 AM

74.77%chance

12294

OptionVotes

YES

1100

941

Latest stories

Aug 27, 2025
Aug 27, 2025
Korea
Music
Culture
aespa Previews “Rich Man” Mini-Album Ahead of 5 Sept. Launch
Authors
3
8 months ago
Aug 20, 2025
Aug 20, 2025
Australia
Politics
World
Josh Willie Elected Tasmanian Labor Leader With Janie Finlay Deputy After Dean Winter No-Confidence Motion; Liberals Retain Power in Hung Parliament
Authors
6
9 months ago

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Winter News

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Prediction markets for Winter

Prediction markets for Winter

Prediction markets for Winter

Will we have at least one more AI winter before AGI is realized?

Will Winds of Winter (a song of ice and fire) be published before George R.R. Martin's death?

In which year would Zvi confirm that we've entered an "AI winter"?

Will "Winds of Winter" hit bookstores before 2030?

Will an AI winter happen by 2030?

Will the 2029 Asian Winter Games take place in Saudi Arabia?

Will humans deliberately cause an AI winter?

Will one of these AI researchers claim we're in an AI winter before 2030?

Will Winds of Winter come out before George RR Martin dies?

Will Preston Jacobs/SweetRobin's "The Winds of Winter" fan-fiction be completed before the real thing is announced?

Will True Detective Season 5 be released before The Winds of Winter? (George R. R. Martin's next Game of Thrones Book)

In the winter of 2035-2036, will we get enough snow in Barriere, British Columbia to have a decent snowball fight?

Latest stories

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