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Wolf News

    Prediction markets for Wolf

    What is Quroe's favorite animal?

    Dec 14, 11:53 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM
    6863788

    OptionProbability

    Cape Buffalo - Syncerus caffer caffer

    Wolverine - Gulo gulo 🥉🥉

    Yellow-Lipped Sea Krait - Laticauda colubrina 🥉

    Sonoran Desert Sidewinder - Crotalus cerastes cercobombus

    Coyote - Canis latrans

    [⚔️Underdog] Sulfur Cave Molly - Poecilia sulphuraria 🥉🥉

    Common Bed Bug - Cimex lectularius

    Brown Rat - Rattus norvegicus 🥉

    House Mouse - Mus musculus domesticus

    [⚔️Frontrunner] Sea Otter - Enhydra lutris

    ❌Defeated: Lion - Panthera leo 🥈🥉🥉[beat by Dolphin]

    ❌Defeated: Bornean orangutan - Pongo pygmaeus [beat by Giant Nematode]

    ❌Defeated: Hippopotamus - Hippopotamus amphibius 🥈🥈🥈 [beat by Brown Rat]

    ❌Defeated: Dog - Canis familiaris 🥉🥈 [beat by Leopard seal]

    ❌Defeated: Cat - Felis catus 🥉🥉🥉 [beat by Meerkat]

    ❌Defeated: Tiger - Panthera tigris 🥈🥈 [beat by Sulfur Cave Molly]

    ❌Defeated: Dolphin - Tursiops truncatus 🥉 [beat by Leopard Seal]

    ❌Defeated: Elephant - Loxodonta africana 🥈🥈[beat by Giant Nematode]

    ❌Defeated: Giant Panda - Ailuropoda melanoleuca [beat by Polar Bear]

    ❌Defeated: Penguin - Aptenodytes forsteri 🥉 [beat by Wolverine]

    ❌Defeated: Axolotl - Ambystoma mexicanum [beat by Great black-backed gull]

    ❌Defeated: Orca - Orcinus orca [beat by Housefly]

    ❌Defeated: Honey Badger - Mellivora capensis 🥈 [beat by Meerkat]

    ❌Defeated: Hotwheels sisyphus spider - Hotwheels sisyphus [beat by Saltwater Crocodile]

    ❌Defeated: Polar Bear - Ursus maritimus 🥈 [beat byt Cat]

    ❌Defeated: Saltwater Crocodile - Crocodylus porosus 🥈🥈🥈🥈 [beat by Red Fox]

    🚫Ineligible: Water bear - Milnesium tardigradum

    ❌Defeated: Ping-Pong Tree Sponge - Chondrocladia concrescens 🥉 [beat by Prehistoric Elephant]

    🚫Ineligible: human [I'm shortening this]

    🚫Ineligible: Tardigrade (LFG)

    ❌Defeated: Great White Shark - Carcharodon carcharias [beat by Lion]

    🚫Ineligible: [This animal was edited in bad faith]

    ❌Defeated: Blue Whale - Balaenoptera musculus [beat by Housefly]

    ❌Defeated: Wolf - Canis lupus [beat by Prehistoric Elephant]

    ❌Defeated: Red Fox - Vulpes vulpes 🥉🥈 [beat by Giant Pacific Octopus]

    ❌Defeated: Cliff Swallow - Petrochelidon pyrrhonota [beat by Elephant]

    ❌Defeated: Platypus - Ornithorhynchus anatinus 🥉🥉 [beat by Western Lowland Gorilla]

    ❌Defeated: Haast's Eagle - Hieraaetus moorei [beat by Prehistoric Elephant]

    ❌Defeated: Giant Nematode - Placentonema gigantissima 🥉🥉 [beat by Wolverine]

    ❌Defeated: Flightless Elephant Bird - Aepyornis maximus [beat by Saltwater Crocodile]

    ❌Defeated: Prehistoric Elephant - Palaeoloxodon namadicus [beat by Dog]🥉🥉🥈

    ❌Defeated: Pompeii Worm - Alvinella pompejana [beat by Cat]

    ❌Defeated: Sperm Whale - Physeter macrocephalus [beat by Ice Worm]

    ❌Defeated: Great evening bat - Ia io [beat by Lion]

    ❌Defeated: Funny valentine spider - Funny valentine [beat by Dermophis donaldtrumpi Caecilian]

    ❌Defeated: Yi qi dinosaur - Yi qi [beat by Elephant]

    ❌Defeated: Aha ha wasp - Aha ha [beat by Hippopotamus]

    ❌Defeated: Penis snake - Atretochoana eiselti [beat by Cat]

    ❌Defeated: Colossal Whale - Perucetus colossus [beat by Meerkat]

    ❌Defeated: Cuban Cockroach - Panchlora nivea [beat by Hippopotamus]

    ❌Defeated: Panther Chameleon - Furcifer pardalis [beat by Saltwater Crocodile]

    ❌Defeated: Giant Dragonfly - Meganeuropsis permiana [beat by Red Fox]

    ❌Defeated: Giant Pacific Octopus - Enteroctopus dofleini 🥉[beat by Ice Worm]

    ❌Defeated: Triceratops - Triceratops horridus [beat by Red Volcano Sponge]

    ❌Defeated: Giant Pterosaur - Quetzalcoatlus northropi [beat by Ping-Pong Tree Sponge]

    ❌Defeated: Lesser Flamingo - Phoeniconaias minor [beat by Honey Badger]

    ❌Defeated: Kiwi - Apteryx australis [beat by Dog]

    ❌Defeated: Red Volcano Sponge - Acarnus Erithacus 🥉[beat by Platypus]

    ❌Defeated: Ice Worm - Mesenchytraeus solifugus 🥉🥉[beat by Tiger]

    ❌Defeated: Meerkat - Suricata suricatta 🥉🥉🥉 [beat by Yellow-Lipped Sea Krait]

    ❌Defeated: Housefly - Musca domestica 🥉🥉🥉 [beat by Tiger]

    ❌Defeated: Feral pigeon - Columba livia urbana [beat by Housefly]

    ❌Defeated: Great black-backed gull - Larus marinus 🥉 [beat by Western lowland gorilla]

    ❌Defeated: Leopard seal - Hydrurga leptonyx 🥉🥈 [beat by Sulfur Cave Molly]

    ❌Defeated: Western lowland gorilla - Gorilla gorilla gorilla 🥈🥈🥈 [beat by Penguin]

    ❌Defeated: Eastern lowland gorilla - Gorilla beringei graueri [beat by Lion]

    ❌Defeated: Dermophis donaldtrumpi Caecilian - Dermophis donaldtrumpi 🥈[beat by Brownthroated three-toed sloth]

    ❌Defeated: New World Screwworm - Cochliomyia hominivorax [beat by Hippopotamus]

    ❌Defeated: Brownthroated three-toed sloth - Bradypus variegatus 🥉 [beat by Western lowland gorilla]

    ❌Defeated: Chinese giant salamander - Andrias davidianus [beat by Saltwater Crocodile]

    🚫Ineligible: [edited in bad faith]

    ❌Defeated: Australopithecus - Australopithecus afarensis [beat by Platypus]

    Other

    12

    11

    11

    11

    11

    9

    8

    8

    8

    3

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Super Smash Bros. Stocks

    Oct 27, 12:00 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
    5114250

    OptionProbability

    Kirby

    Pit

    Captain Falcon

    Luigi

    Donkey Kong

    Jigglypuff

    Lucina

    Toon Link

    Mario

    Link

    Samus

    Pikachu

    Ness

    Peach

    Bowser

    Ice Climbers

    Sheik

    Zelda

    Dr. Mario

    Pichu

    Falco

    Marth

    Young Link

    Ganondorf

    Roy

    Meta Knight

    Zero Suit Samus

    Wario

    Sonic

    King Dedede

    R.O.B

    Wolf

    Villager

    Mega Man

    Little Mac

    Greninja

    Shulk

    Bowser Jr.

    Duck Hunt

    Ryu

    Cloud

    Bayonetta

    Inkling

    Ridley

    Simon Belmont

    Richter

    King K. Rool

    Isabelle

    Piranha Plant

    Steve

    Other

    Yoshi

    Fox

    Mewtwo

    Mr. Game & Watch

    Snake

    Ike

    PKMN Trainer

    Diddy Kong

    Lucas

    Olimar

    Lucario

    Wii Fit Trainer

    Rosalina & Luma

    Mii Fighter

    Palutena

    Pac-Man

    Robin

    Corrin

    Incineroar

    Joker

    Hero

    Banjo-Kazooie

    Terry Bogard

    Byleth

    20

    18

    7

    6

    4

    3

    3

    3

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Is the "Wolf and Sheep" chess variant a forced win for white?

    Dec 18, 6:34 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM
    98.04%chance
    165618

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    1607

    897

    OptionProbability

    Any of clade Dinosauria (dinosaurs)

    Pyrenean ibex

    Mammoth

    Dire Wolf

    Dodo

    Passenger Pigeon

    Thylacine (Tasmanian tiger)

    Moa

    Auroch

    Steller's sea cow

    Any species extinct more than 65 million years ago

    85

    82

    80

    68

    66

    63

    57

    50

    38

    29

    5

    OptionProbability

    At least 137" (2024-2025 season)

    At least 209" (recent average)

    At least 282" (2016-2017 season)

    At least 372" (2022-2023 season, recent record)

    At least 484" (Wolf Creek, 2022-2023 season)

    93

    75

    59

    40

    18

    OptionProbability

    New Mexico Lobos

    North Dakota State Bison

    UNLV Rebels

    Air Force Falcons

    Northern Illinois Huskies

    UTEP Miners

    Wyoming Cowboys

    San Jose State Spartans

    Nevada Wolf Pack

    Hawaii Rainbow Warriors

    58

    17

    13

    4

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    1

    Sanjuan Wolf Stock

    May 17, 5:41 AMMay 17, 8:59 PM
    10678

    OptionProbability

    NO

    YES

    227

    163

    Will the Wolf (Canis lupus) become extinct in the current century?

    Feb 25, 7:33 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
    13.61%chance
    14557

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    863

    392

    Wolf Tivy can make Yudkowsky stronger

    Nov 26, 12:53 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM
    52.55%chance
    345

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    105

    95

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    115

    73

    OptionProbability

    Sam Altman

    Jensen Huang

    Susan Rice

    Tony Xu

    Ray Klein

    Cory Booker

    Elizabeth Holmes

    66

    59

    50

    50

    50

    44

    43

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