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Prediction markets for Wright
OptionProbability
39
34
31
30
29
27
26
26
26
26
25
25
22
21
20
20
18
18
16
13
What cabinet official in President Trumps administration will resign or be fired?
Nov 9, 5:47 PMJan 17, 4:59 AM
8416007
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
81
77
77
76
64
40
35
34
29
27
27
27
26
22
22
22
21
20
16
14
10
3
OptionProbability
31
20
17
11
4
3
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
32
28
14
12
7
4
2
1
OptionProbability
95
94
92
91
90
90
89
88
88
88
87
86
85
84
84
83
83
83
82
82
81
81
79
79
78
78
78
78
78
76
76
75
75
73
72
72
72
70
69
69
69
69
66
66
65
65
62
62
59
59
55
54
54
52
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
48
46
41
41
41
41
34
34
34
34
34
32
32
24
23
17
16
14
Which Trump Cabinet members will remain in place by the end of 2026?
Nov 26, 4:27 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
333352
OptionProbability
99
95
91
89
88
85
85
83
78
78
78
78
75
66
64
62
60
50
43
31
0
0
0
0
OptionVotes
1902
909
Who will be the next person appointed to the Supreme Court of the United States?
Dec 30, 11:24 PMJan 1, 5:00 PM
17848
OptionProbability
71
10
3
3
3
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
If the identity of Satoshi is ever definitively proven, who will it be?
Oct 10, 10:11 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
22400
OptionProbability
35
32
10
8
7
2
2
2
2
1
Which new characters will be in the next Smash Bros game? Counting DLC
May 26, 8:25 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
8262
OptionProbability
57
56
50
50
49
47
44
40
If Democrats win a trifecta in 2028, will they expand the Supreme Court by 2032
Jan 18, 9:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
39.22%chance
487
OptionVotes
113
75
OptionProbability
25
23
15
15
15
6
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