Recent surveys and analyses indicate that Japan's ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) and its coalition partner Komeito are facing challenges in retaining their majority in the upcoming House of Councillors election. In the 32 single-member districts, the LDP leads in only nine, a sharp decline from the 28 districts it won in the previous election, suggesting a potential halving of their advantage. Opposition parties and independents are leading in 16 districts, with close contests in eight others. The cooperation between the Constitutional Democratic Party and the Communist Party has helped the opposition gain an edge in several districts, particularly where the Communist Party did not field candidates. Key voter concerns include consumption tax, cash handout policies, insurance premium reductions, and wage increases. Campaign speeches across Japan have focused on addressing high prices and economic burdens. The Komeito party aims to expand support by proposing both benefits and tax cuts, reflecting concerns over declining votes and an aging supporter base. Social media discussions on tax reduction campaigns have predominantly involved opposition supporters, with limited debate on funding sources. Regional political dynamics, such as conservative splits in Wakayama, further complicate the electoral landscape.
参院選・公明党 “給付”も“減税”も「両方行う」独自色で支持拡大狙う…背景に「給付だけでは戦えない」危機感や支持者高齢化で得票数減【もっと投票の前に】 #FNNプライムオンライン https://t.co/PnDiLwD2OM
【参議院選挙】 SNSで「減税運動」、拡散は野党系支持層に偏重 財源の議論深まらず https://t.co/KKl7X9LNeO #参院選2025 https://t.co/KMnwY8bOT1
参議院選挙「二階王国」続く保守分裂 和歌山、野党も結集できず https://t.co/aK3XtEdjav