Inflation rates in Tokyo and the Eurozone accelerated in November, exceeding expectations and fueling speculation about potential interest rate adjustments by the Bank of Japan (BOJ) and the European Central Bank (ECB). Tokyo's consumer price index (CPI) rose by 2.6% year-on-year, up from 1.8% in the previous month, due to reduced government energy subsidies and increases in electricity, gas, and rice prices. The core CPI, excluding fresh food and energy, increased by 1.9%, meeting expectations. The yen strengthened significantly against the US dollar, falling below the critical level of 150 to reach 150.02 per dollar, the strongest since October 21. BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda indicated that interest rate hikes are "nearing" as economic data align with the central bank's forecasts, emphasizing that wage trends and other economic indicators are key to the decision. He also warned that further yen weakness poses a significant risk to the economic outlook if the currency continues to fall after inflation starts rising. In the Eurozone, inflation climbed to 2.3% in November from 2.0% in October, exceeding the ECB's 2% target for the first time in three months. Core inflation remained steady at 2.7%, slightly below expectations. ECB officials, including Vice President Luis de Guindos and Governing Council member François Villeroy de Galhau, expressed confidence that inflation is moving towards the target. De Guindos stated that "inflation is going quite well," and the acceleration was expected. Villeroy mentioned that "victory against inflation is in sight" and that the inflation target may be reached in early 2025. He added that the ECB will "probably be able to continue to lower rates," but the exact rhythm of rate cuts will be determined in the coming months. Overall, the higher-than-expected inflation figures in Tokyo and the Eurozone are impacting currency markets and central bank policies. The yen's strengthening reflects market anticipation of a potential BOJ rate hike, while the ECB officials' comments suggest a cautious approach to future rate adjustments amid persistent inflation.
Bank of Japan Gov. Kazuo Ueda said in an interview that the timing of the next interest rate hike was "approaching" as the economy was moving in line with the central bank's forecasts, leaving open the chance of a December rate increase. https://t.co/UORVjNyelM
"Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda said interest-rate hikes are “nearing” as inflation and economic trends develop in line with the central bank’s forecasts" We have a Dec meeting, where he didn't support it explicity, but I like to be short jgb here vs others area.
#BOJ's Ueda says wage trends key to possible rate hikes, Nikkei reports