The S&P 500 is currently trading at a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 22.5 times, placing it in the 95th percentile since 1988 and near cycle highs. The index's price-to-book value ratio has reached an all-time high of 5.3 times, driven largely by the technology sector, which comprises 34% of the index directly and 48% when including tech-related stocks. Within the S&P 100, 27.2% of the total market value is concentrated in stocks with P/E ratios of at least 50, while only one company has a P/E below 10. Excluding technology, the S&P 500's P/E remains elevated at 19.4 times, whereas the expanded tech sector trades at 29.9 times. The Nasdaq's market capitalization relative to the US M2 money supply has reached 145%, surpassing the peak seen during the 2000 Dot-Com Bubble. Additionally, the S&P 500's price-to-sales ratio hit a record 3.4 times, exceeding levels from 2021 and surpassing the Dot-Com Bubble peak by one point. These metrics indicate that the US equity market is trading at historically high valuations, particularly driven by the technology sector.
โ ๏ธThe market has gone WAY BEYOND the 2000 Dot-Com Bubble levels: The S&P 500 Price-to-Sales ratio hit a RECORD 3.4x, officially surpassing 2021 levels before the 2022 bear market. This is 1 point ABOVE the 2000 Dot-Com Bubble peak. The market has never been this expensive. https://t.co/JuVpK9vfuG
๐จThis is truly UNPRECEDENTED: The Nasdaq index market cap relative to the US M2 money supply has hit w MIND-BLOWING 145%, an all-time high. This is now higher than the 2000 Dot-Com Bubble Peak. Big Tech has risen WAY faster than the money supply. This is not sustainable. https://t.co/b07s1KQ9qE
S&P 500 ex-tech P/E still juicy at 19.4x @WisdomTreeFunds 29.9x for the expanded tech space, which is now 46% of the S&P 500 Index. https://t.co/20kEmzwVcc