
Over the past 20 days, the S&P 500 index has consistently outperformed signals from global assets correlated to risk sentiment, with cumulative outperformance rates ranging from +2.91% to +3.82%. As of December 24, the S&P 500 is projected to experience a slight decline of -0.03% ahead of the New York market open, despite futures indicating a modest increase of +0.13%. In a broader context, the MSCI All-Country World Index reported a total return of 21.4% in USD terms through December 13, 2024. Additionally, two-year Treasury rates have remained high and stable for two years, coinciding with a 50% increase in the S&P 500 during that timeframe. Analysts suggest that while the S&P experienced a 3% correction following comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, the overall market structure remains bullish, indicating that it is not yet time to predict a market peak.
S&P 500 saw a 3% correction following Powell’s comments But bull markets often see countertrend pullbacks And the overall market structure still remains bullish This is not the time to call a top… yet https://t.co/38DRfpqIs2
Over the last 20 days, we have generally seen the S&P index outperform the signals from global assets correlated to risk sentiment. The S&P has outperformed the model by +3.82% cumulatively during the period. https://t.co/Vfeyfh4bRA
Ahead of the NY Open, our cross-asset model indicates a -0.03% loss for the S&P (while futures are up +0.13% since prior close). The signal from Rates is most bullish (+0.08%), while the signal from Global Equities is least bullish (-0.05%). https://t.co/vPOpoUIuo1







