
Recent discussions among venture capitalists highlight the changing landscape of VC funding as the industry navigates through a downturn. According to insights from the 2024 Carta State of Startups report, fewer VC funds in recent vintages are achieving Distributed to Paid-In (DPI) ratios, and the median Total Value to Paid-In (TVPI) metrics are on a decline. This raises questions about whether the current situation reflects a structural decrease in returns or is merely a cyclical phase. Additionally, the emergence of new crypto VC funds and increased institutional investment in crypto ventures suggest a shift in focus within the industry. As startups adapt to a leaner funding environment, experts propose that metrics such as aggregate Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) growth and runway duration may become more relevant indicators of portfolio health than traditional metrics like Multiple on Invested Capital (MOIC) and TVPI. Overall, while larger brand-name funds dominate the current funding landscape, there is a growing momentum for smaller funds and emerging managers, indicating potential opportunities for the next wave of innovation.

VC funding has plummeted since the 2021 ZIRP frenzy. Most LP dollars are flowing to big brand names, but momentum is building for smaller funds & emerging managers Downturns separate tourists from builders. The best will emerge stronger. The next wave is coming—are you ready?
As startups get leaner and raise less downstream VC we need to re-visit the proxy metrics we use to evaluate pre-DPI venture portfolios Imo we're entering an era where aggregate ARR growth and # months of runway are better indicators of portfolio health than MOIC and TVPI https://t.co/szPM10cIKI
What part of the cycle are we in when we see: 1. New crypto VC funds being launched 2. Institutional capital flowing into crypto VC 3. Trad web2 VCs starts investing directly in crypto 4. Huge equity only rounds being led by trad investors