Soybean and corn markets are experiencing downward price pressure amid favorable growing conditions and policy changes. US corn conditions are rated 74% "good or excellent," the highest for this time of year since 2016, contributing to ample price pressure with front-month futures near $4 per bushel in July. The Bloomberg Grains Spot Index has remained flat over the past year, contrasting with a 41% gain in gold, highlighting deflationary trends in agricultural commodities. Soybean prices face resistance around the $10.80 per bushel level, a key threshold from 2014-2020, influenced by large supplies from Brazil following a peak near $18 in 2022. Market activity includes significant options trades in soybeans, with Screen Capital buying and selling various call and put spreads at strike prices ranging from 800 to 1100. Additionally, Argentina's reduction of export tariffs and favorable weather in the US have contributed to declines in corn and soybean prices on the Chicago Board of Trade. Outlooks suggest corn prices may trend toward $3 per bushel and soybeans toward $8, with crude oil prices around $40, as low-price trajectories gain momentum amid potential supply shocks.
Maíz y soja caen en Chicago tras la baja de retenciones en Argentina y el buen clima en Estados Unidos. Los precios: https://t.co/07KfNmFjQ2
August Agriculture Outlook: Corn at $3, Soybeans $8, Crude $40 on Path to Low-Price Cures - Low-price cure trajectories in the grains and crude oil appear to be gaining momentum into the end of July vs. the potential for sustained supply shocks. Corn may be more likely to head https://t.co/uGm0DERqZ0
Can Soybeans Stay Above $10.80 and Buoy Grains? A key resistance threshold from 2014-20, $10.80 a bushel soybeans, may be regaining ceiling status. Massive supply from Brazil -- following the 2022 pump to almost $18 -- is a primary driver of the downtrend. Full report on the https://t.co/5QMW1zhcta