OptionProbability
Iran
South China Sea
Pakistan
India
United States
Russia
Ukraine
Taiwan
China
Venezuela
Washington DC
Guam
Belarus
Jerusalem
Okinawa
The Philippines
South Korea
Seoul
Gaza Strip
19
13
12
11
10
8
7
6
4
2
OptionVotes
YES
NO
1134
950
138
137
Better, cheaper GLP-1 weight-loss drugs are coming, and in pill form, too.
With rich countries living beyond their means, the risk of a bond-market crisis is growing.
Geothermal energy is worth watching.
Conflicts will grind on in Ukraine, Sudan and Myanmar.
Russia and China will test America’s commitment to its allies with “grey-zone” provocations in northern Europe and the South China Sea.
Peace in Gaza will hold.
86
80
67
63
56
997
957
1104
925
212
65
100
98
90
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