
Federal Reserve officials are expected to release updated economic projections this week, indicating fewer interest rate cuts than previously anticipated. Most sell-side economists and professional Fed watchers now predict one or two rate cuts this year, likely in September or December, according to the Wall Street Journal. Major brokerages and a new poll of academic economists suggest that the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates just once this year, with the first cut not expected until September at the earliest. The Fed's 'dot plot' could provide further insights into their rate-cut resolve. Investors are closely monitoring these projections, with many betting on a median projection of two rate cuts by September. However, there is a significant possibility of only one cut, with some respondents forecasting no cuts at all, according to the Financial Times and a ChicagoBooth poll of 39 economists, where slightly more than half predicted a single quarter-point cut.
🇺🇲🦅 The Fed’s dot plot is likely to show a median of 2 ‘24 rate cuts. - There are increasing risks of a shift to just 1 cut. - Sell-side rate cut views continue to be pushed back, converging on September. - Get briefed via the @MNIMarketNews preview 👇🏻 https://t.co/he8M0iEo9B https://t.co/DJZfBVADbp
September is when the market is beginning to price in a rate-cut (56%) with November at 90% odds of a cut by then (note that the FOMC meeting is on 11/7, two days after the election) https://t.co/BpDYcrnBI3
NICKY LEAKS ON THE #FOMC.. EVERYONE LOOKS AT THE SAME CHART? ### Investors Bet on Rate Cuts by September Many investors are betting on a median projection of two rate cuts by September. If the projection drops to just one, it implies rate cuts may not start until even later in… https://t.co/JuNJy1YVDj


