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Top stories

Gabbard Sparks CIA Backlash by Pulling Covert Officer’s Clearance

US Domestic Policy

Gabbard Sparks CIA Backlash by Pulling Covert Officer’s Clearance

Authors

13

8 months ago

Trump Ousts Rail Regulator as Board Reviews $85 Billion UNP-NSC Merger

US Gov Appointments

Trump Ousts Rail Regulator as Board Reviews $85 Billion UNP-NSC Merger

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21

8 months ago

ChatGPT Conversations Linked to Connecticut Murder-Suicide, Intensifying Safety Scrutiny

US Domestic Policy

ChatGPT Conversations Linked to Connecticut Murder-Suicide, Intensifying Safety Scrutiny

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10

8 months ago

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US Foreign Policy

U.S. Offers Air and Intelligence Backbone for European Postwar Force in Ukraine

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House Oversight Subpoenas Epstein Estate for Birthday Book, Client Records

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Prediction markets for Wall Street Journal

Will Elon Musk be worth more than $1 Trillion during his lifetime?

Sep 20, 7:29 PMJun 29, 3:59 AM

86%chance

11480441

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3020

466

Will xAI replace Anthropic's DoW deal?

Feb 26, 11:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.74%chance

244278

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2405

416

Will Michael Saylor be worth more than $1 Trillion during his lifetime?

Mar 4, 7:47 PMFeb 5, 4:59 AM

14.83%chance

202697

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1443

867

Will the AI bubble pop before 2028?

Feb 12, 8:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.89%chance

332645

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1228

815

Which of the following media outlets will close or undergo significant downsizing/restructuring before 2028?

Mar 2, 3:42 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

15766

OptionProbability

Epoch Times

NPR

Wired

Time

TMZ

Los Angeles Times

New York Post

USA Today

The Onion

Times of India

Gateway Pundit

Babylon Bee

Daily Wire

Newsmax

Breitbart

Al Jazeera

Associated Press (AP)

The Information

The Base Rate Times

Fox News

Wall Street Journal

CNN

BBC

NPR

New York Times

92

79

72

72

72

69

66

66

56

50

50

50

50

50

50

50

46

45

41

34

34

34

20

18

9

Will large amounts of GTA VI-related time-off requests be reported within two weeks of release?

May 18, 3:55 AMMay 27, 3:51 AM

39.77%chance

9612

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1231

813

Will the Wall Street Journal create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Jan 9, 10:32 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

14.42%chance

15577

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1455

887

Will Eric Swalwell be behind bars on Election Day 2028?

Apr 12, 8:55 PMNov 7, 11:59 PM

19.17%chance

17445

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1087

951

Will AI impersonation on social media cause a minimum of $50M+ in reported US corporate losses in 2026?

Feb 12, 12:05 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

74.34%chance

6357

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1067

772

US government loses more than $50 million in cryptocurrency by end of 2028

Mar 16, 10:33 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

45.42%chance

5298

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1096

912

US Patent System gets a price hike by 2026?

Aug 7, 9:01 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.31%chance

6268

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1168

856

Rippling wins its lawsuit against Deel by 2028?

May 12, 5:33 PMJan 1, 6:33 PM

52.98%chance

5183

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1061

942

Latest stories

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Aug 29, 2025
Aug 29, 2025
US Domestic Policy
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Senate Democrats Press Trump to Halt Fannie-Freddie IPO Over Rate Concerns
Authors
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8 months ago
Aug 29, 2025
Aug 29, 2025
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Crime
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Aug 28, 2025
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