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Top stories

Fed Dissenters Waller and Bowman Urge Early Rate Cut to Shield Jobs

Fed Dissenters Waller and Bowman Urge Early Rate Cut to Shield Jobs

Authors

17

22 hours ago

Trump Criticizes Fed Chair Powell, Cites Payroll Drop and 67% September Rate Cut Odds, Praises Tariff Revenue

US Domestic Policy

Prediction Markets

Trump Criticizes Fed Chair Powell, Cites Payroll Drop and 67% September Rate Cut Odds, Praises Tariff Revenue

Authors

8

21 hours ago

Trump Urges Fed Board to Seize Control if Powell Won’t Cut Rates

US Domestic Policy

Trump Urges Fed Board to Seize Control if Powell Won’t Cut Rates

Authors

57

24 hours ago

Fed’s Bostic Sticks to Forecast for Single 2025 Rate Cut, Data Dependent

Authors

13

20 hours ago

Fed’s Bostic Warns Tariff Pass-Through Could Take a Year

Authors

6

20 hours ago

Fed’s Bostic Says Job-Market Slowdown Wouldn’t Alter Latest FOMC Call

Authors

6

20 hours ago

US Domestic Policy

Core PCE Inflation Climbs to 2.8% in June, Pressuring Fed Outlook

Authors

12

2 days ago

RBA's Hauser Sees Low Unemployment and Rates Falling Toward 3.2% as Fed's Bostic, Hammack, and Williams Signal Caution on U.S. Labor Market

Authors

11

21 hours ago

Prediction markets for Fed

Fed performs emergency rate cut in 2025?

Apr 7, 12:19 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

11.54%chance

3845382

OptionVotes

YES

NO

27689

3612

Will the fed funds rate be below 4% at anytime by the end of 2026?

Oct 17, 11:18 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

82.38%chance

2635273

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1486

841

How many net rate cuts will the Fed (Federal Reserve) do in 2025?

Jan 6, 6:03 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

4318075

OptionProbability

2 cuts (Target 3.75-4.00)

1 cuts (Target 4.00-4.25)

3 cuts (Target 3.50-3.75)

0 cuts (Target 4.25-4.50 or higher)

4 cuts or more (Target 3.25-3.50 or lower)

44

39

11

4

1

Will Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell still be the Fed Chair on August 16, 2025?

Jul 19, 3:22 AMAug 16, 12:00 AM

99%chance

157023

OptionVotes

NO

YES

995

10

Will the Fed be abolished during Trump's term?

Nov 14, 9:57 PMJan 21, 2:59 AM

3.91%chance

245652

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4956

202

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?

Jul 16, 7:31 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

19.53%chance

332770

OptionVotes

YES

NO

203

49

Next Fed chair to have a degree in economics?

Apr 18, 12:20 AMApr 1, 10:59 PM

42%chance

101373

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1175

851

Will Nick Fuentes be revealed to be a Fed before 2040?

Feb 19, 4:04 AMJan 16, 6:59 AM

12.95%chance

161222

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2127

703

Are the “Patriot Front” marchers >20% feds?

May 16, 9:59 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

23.74%chance

13436

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1038

977

Will "In The End, Gold Destroy The Fed" after "We Are Going To Experience Two Resets"?

Aug 8, 6:52 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

10%chance

6243

OptionVotes

YES

NO

382

116

Trump creates and appoints a shadow Fed chair?

Apr 22, 11:07 AMMay 30, 10:59 PM

20.46%chance

7214

OptionVotes

NO

YES

592

481

How many times will the Fed raise rates during Trump's second term?

Nov 18, 8:09 PMJan 24, 7:59 AM

7158

OptionProbability

Zero

Other

Twice

Once

46

21

18

14

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 1, 2025
Aug 1, 2025
Economics
Business
Fed’s Bostic Sticks to Forecast for Single 2025 Rate Cut, Data Dependent
Authors
13
20 hours ago
Aug 1, 2025
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Aug 1, 2025
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22 hours ago
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37
2 days ago
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Jul 30, 2025
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3 days ago
Jul 30, 2025
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3 days ago
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8
3 days ago
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24
3 days ago
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11
3 days ago
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8
3 days ago
Jul 29, 2025
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4 days ago
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12
4 days ago
Jul 28, 2025
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18
5 days ago
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7 days ago
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11 days ago
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12 days ago
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36
1 month ago
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1 month ago
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1 month ago
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1 month ago
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1 month ago

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