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Top stories

Fed’s Waller Backs September 25-Point Cut, Signals More Easing Ahead

Fed’s Waller Backs September 25-Point Cut, Signals More Easing Ahead

Authors

36

3 months ago

Markets Put 87% Odds on Fed September Rate Cut

Markets Put 87% Odds on Fed September Rate Cut

Authors

6

3 months ago

Fed’s Lisa Cook Sues Trump, Challenging Attempted Firing and Fed Independence

US Gov Appointments

Fed’s Lisa Cook Sues Trump, Challenging Attempted Firing and Fed Independence

Authors

115

3 months ago

FHFA’s Pulte Files Second Criminal Referral Alleging Mortgage Fraud by Fed’s Lisa Cook

Authors

15

3 months ago

US Economy Expands 3.3% in Second Quarter on Trade, Investment

Authors

30

3 months ago

Global Markets Steady as Investors Wait for Key US PCE Inflation

Authors

19

3 months ago

US Domestic Policy

White House Vows to Keep Up Fight With Fed Governor Lisa Cook

Authors

5

3 months ago

US Gov Appointments

Senate Republicans Fast-Track Miran for Fed Board Before September Meeting

Authors

6

3 months ago

Prediction markets for Fed

Fed performs emergency rate cut in 2025?

Apr 7, 12:19 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

1.36%chance

48132685

OptionVotes

YES

NO

85011

1176

Federal Reserve (Fed) Interest Rate Decision in December

Sep 3, 9:51 PMDec 10, 7:00 PM

158103178

OptionProbability

25 bps decrease

No change

Increase

50+ bps decrease

93

6

0

0

Will the fed funds rate be below 4% at anytime by the end of 2026?

Oct 17, 11:18 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

97.1%chance

2856155

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6200

490

Will the Fed be abolished during Trump's term?

Nov 14, 9:57 PMJan 21, 2:59 AM

3.91%chance

259052

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4956

202

Fed makes 3rd interest rate adjustment before EoY 2025?

Oct 30, 12:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

94.82%chance

185448

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4279

234

Next Fed chair to have a degree in economics?

Apr 18, 12:20 AMApr 1, 10:59 PM

79.79%chance

152831

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1987

503

Will Nick Fuentes be revealed to be a Fed before 2040?

Feb 19, 4:04 AMJan 16, 6:59 AM

18%chance

192676

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1626

793

If no lowering of interest rates in Dec. → Will Trump increasingly pressure Fed autonomy?

Nov 22, 4:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.09%chance

6740

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1390

719

Are the “Patriot Front” marchers >20% feds?

May 16, 9:59 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

23.74%chance

13436

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1038

977

Double digit US inflation within six months of Jerome Powell's leaving as Fed chair?

Apr 21, 12:20 AMDec 31, 1:18 AM

9.97%chance

10312

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1201

933

Trump creates and appoints a shadow Fed chair?

Apr 22, 11:07 AMMay 30, 10:59 PM

22.08%chance

8224

OptionVotes

NO

YES

602

444

What will the Fed rate be end of FY2026

Jul 22, 11:47 AMSep 30, 11:59 PM

4170

OptionProbability

3 - 4.99%

1 - 2.99%

5 - 6.99%

Below 0%

0 - 0.99%

7 - 8.99%

9 - 10%

Above 10%

33

28

11

7

7

6

4

3

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 29, 2025
Aug 29, 2025
Economics
Business
Markets Put 87% Odds on Fed September Rate Cut
Authors
6
3 months ago
Aug 29, 2025
Aug 29, 2025
Economics
Business
US Economy Expands 3.3% in Second Quarter on Trade, Investment
Authors
30
3 months ago
Aug 29, 2025
Aug 29, 2025
Tariffs
Economics
Stocks
Global Markets Steady as Investors Wait for Key US PCE Inflation
Authors
19
3 months ago
Aug 29, 2025
Aug 29, 2025
US Judiciary
Law
Politics
FHFA’s Pulte Files Second Criminal Referral Alleging Mortgage Fraud by Fed’s Lisa Cook
Authors
15
3 months ago
Aug 29, 2025
Aug 29, 2025
Economics
Business
US Dollar Index Steadies at 97.9, Set for 2% August Drop on Fed Rate Cut Bets; Gold Nears $3,400 as Core PCE Inflation Hits 2.9% YoY
Authors
9
3 months ago
Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
Economics
Business
Fed’s Waller Backs September 25-Point Cut, Signals More Easing Ahead
Authors
36
3 months ago
Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
US Judiciary
US Gov Appointments
Economics
Fed’s Lisa Cook Sues Trump, Challenging Attempted Firing and Fed Independence
Authors
115
3 months ago
Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
US Domestic Policy
Politics
White House Vows to Keep Up Fight With Fed Governor Lisa Cook
Authors
5
3 months ago
Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
Economics
Business
Fed Reverse Repo at $34.7B; 7-Year Treasury Auction Lowest Bid-To-Cover Ratio; 4-Week Bill Bids $261.6M; Discount Window Loans $4.19B
Authors
4
3 months ago
Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
US Gov Appointments
Economics
Politics
Senate Republicans Fast-Track Miran for Fed Board Before September Meeting
Authors
6
3 months ago
Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
US Domestic Policy
Economics
Politics
Gold Steadies Near $3,400 Ahead of PCE Data and Fed Independence Fight
Authors
10
3 months ago
Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
Europe
Economics
Business
ECB’s Rehn Warns Trump Pressure on Fed Risks Higher Inflation
Authors
7
3 months ago
Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
Asia
Economics
Stocks
Asian Stocks Rise on Fed Chair Powell’s Signal of Possible September Rate Cut; Japan, Korea, Australia Gain Amid 84% Easing Odds
Authors
8
3 months ago
Aug 27, 2025
Aug 27, 2025
Economics
Stocks
Business
Markets Hold Steady Despite Trump’s Escalating Fed Criticism
Authors
3
3 months ago
Aug 27, 2025
Aug 27, 2025
Economics
Business
Fed’s Williams Says Slowing Growth May Allow Rate Cuts While Staying Restrictive
Authors
10
3 months ago
Aug 27, 2025
Aug 27, 2025
Economics
Business
New York Fed’s Williams Underscores Importance of Central Bank Independence
Authors
4
3 months ago
Aug 27, 2025
Aug 27, 2025
Economics
Business
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent Urges Federal Reserve to Return to Core Mission, Cites Independence Concerns and Calls for Internal Review
Authors
6
3 months ago
Aug 27, 2025
Aug 27, 2025
US Judiciary
US Domestic Policy
Politics
Trump Uses Federal Power for Retribution, Tests Legal Guardrails
Authors
12
3 months ago
Aug 27, 2025
Aug 27, 2025
US Domestic Policy
Economics
Politics
Trump’s Attack on Federal Reserve Risks Raising Bond Yields, Borrowing Costs and Threatening Fed Independence, Says Bill Dudley
Authors
9
3 months ago
Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
Economics
Stocks
Business
Russell 2000 Outshines as U.S. Stocks Rebound Amid Fed Turmoil
Authors
10
3 months ago
Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
US Domestic Policy
Economics
Politics
Bessent Says Fed Independence Hinges on Public Trust, Credits Trump
Authors
12
3 months ago
Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
Economics
Politics
Business
Trump Says Fed Chair Powell Will “Get Out Quickly”
Authors
5
3 months ago
Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
US Legislation
Economics
Politics
Fed Cites Statutory Guardrails Protecting Governors From Political Firing
Authors
4
3 months ago
Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
Economics
Business
World
BIS Chief Warns Political Threats Endanger Central-Bank Independence
Authors
5
3 months ago
Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
France
US Gov Appointments
Stocks
French Political Turmoil and Fed Rift Send European Stocks Lower
Authors
7
3 months ago
Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
Economics
Business
Commerce Secretary Lutnick Urges Federal Reserve to Cut Rates
Authors
4
3 months ago
Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
Economics
Business
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index Narrows Decline, Beats Forecasts
Authors
4
3 months ago
Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
Economics
Business
Morgan Stanley Predicts Two 25 Basis Point Fed Rate Cuts in 2025, Quarterly Cuts in 2026 with Terminal Range at 2.75%-3.0%
Authors
22
3 months ago
Aug 25, 2025
Aug 25, 2025
Economics
Business
Fed’s Logan Backs Further Balance-Sheet Run-Off as Williams Stresses Persistently Low Neutral Rate
Authors
11
3 months ago
Aug 25, 2025
Aug 25, 2025
Economics
Business
Fed’s Williams Set to Speak in Mexico City as Rate-Cut Debate Intensifies
Authors
4
3 months ago
Aug 25, 2025
Aug 25, 2025
Economics
Stocks
Business
Powell Boosts Odds of September Fed Cut; Markets Shift Focus to Data and Nvidia
Authors
68
3 months ago
Aug 25, 2025
Aug 25, 2025
Korea
US Gov Appointments
US Foreign Policy
White House Sees Fed Chair Pick Months Away, Eyes Swift South Korea Trade Deal
Authors
7
3 months ago
Aug 25, 2025
Aug 25, 2025
Japan
Stocks
Business
Nikkei Tops 43,000 Intraday on Powell Rate-Cut Signal
Authors
16
3 months ago
Aug 25, 2025
Aug 25, 2025
Economics
Business
Gold Holds Above $3,350 as Powell Spurs Bets on September Fed Cut
Authors
3
3 months ago
Aug 24, 2025
Aug 24, 2025
Economics
Business
Powell Plans Overhaul of Fed’s 2020 Inflation Playbook, WSJ Reports
Authors
9
3 months ago
Aug 24, 2025
Aug 24, 2025
Economics
Markets
Business
Federal Reserve 25bps Rate Cut Odds Surge to 87% for September 17 FOMC Meeting, Boosting Crypto Sentiment
Authors
15
3 months ago
Aug 22, 2025
Aug 22, 2025
Economics
Business
Fed’s Musalem Flags Possible Rate Cut Pending August Jobs Data
Authors
3
4 months ago
Aug 22, 2025
Aug 22, 2025
Economics
Politics
Business
Trump Says Powell’s Prospective Rate Cuts Come ‘Too Late’
Authors
16
4 months ago
Aug 22, 2025
Aug 22, 2025
US Gov Appointments
Economics
Politics
Powell’s Dovish Jackson Hole Speech Fuels Rate-Cut Bets and Succession Talk
Authors
4
4 months ago
Aug 22, 2025
Aug 22, 2025
Economics
Stocks
Business
Powell Remarks Ignite 4% Rally in Russell 2000 Small Caps
Authors
14
4 months ago
Aug 22, 2025
Aug 22, 2025
Economics
Stocks
Business
AST SpaceMobile Gains on 7.5 Million Device Base, Subscription Growth and Fed Rate Cut Prospects with $47 to $65 Target
Authors
4
4 months ago
Aug 22, 2025
Aug 22, 2025
Economics
Stocks
Business
Tesla Jumps 4% After Powell Signals Possible Fed Rate Cuts
Authors
4
4 months ago
Aug 22, 2025
Aug 22, 2025
Tariffs
Economics
Politics
Powell Sees Tariff-Driven Price Rise as Short-Lived, Flags Uncertainty
Authors
19
4 months ago
Aug 22, 2025
Aug 22, 2025
Economics
Business
Fed Officials Stress Patience on Rate Cuts as Inflation Persists
Authors
10
4 months ago
Aug 21, 2025
Aug 21, 2025
Economics
Business
Fed's Goolsbee Says September Meeting ‘Live’ as Data Sends Mixed Signals
Authors
7
4 months ago
Aug 21, 2025
Aug 21, 2025
Law
Politics
Business
DOJ Official Presses Powell to Oust Fed Governor Cook Amid Mortgage Probe
Authors
10
4 months ago
Aug 21, 2025
Aug 21, 2025
Economics
Real Estate
Business
US 30-Year Mortgage Rate Stays at 6.58%, a 10-Month Low
Authors
10
4 months ago
Aug 21, 2025
Aug 21, 2025
Economics
Politics
Business
Navarro Calls Fed Chair Powell’s Approach ‘Unsettlingly Anti-Trump’
Authors
5
4 months ago
Aug 21, 2025
Aug 21, 2025
US Domestic Policy
Economics
Politics
U.S. Treasury Conducts $4 Billion Debt Buyback Amid Record $1.2 Trillion Interest Payments, Seen as QE Without Fed
Authors
11
4 months ago
Aug 21, 2025
Aug 21, 2025
Economics
Business
KC Fed's Schmid Resists September Cut, Says Inflation Still Near 3%
Authors
24
4 months ago
Aug 21, 2025
Aug 21, 2025
Economics
Business
Fed’s Bostic Sees Labor Replacement Rate at 50,000-75,000 Jobs
Authors
7
4 months ago
Aug 20, 2025
Aug 20, 2025
US Legislation
Regulation
CBDCs
Senator Cynthia Lummis Says Senate Will Pass Crypto Market-Structure Bill This Year Backed by Trump; CBDC Ban Added to Defense Bill
Authors
22
4 months ago
Aug 20, 2025
Aug 20, 2025
Economics
Politics
Business
Jefferies’ Zervos Calls Fed Policy Overly Tight, Questions Powell’s Independence
Authors
9
4 months ago
Aug 20, 2025
Aug 20, 2025
US Gov Appointments
Economics
Politics
Treasury's Bessent to Interview 11 Candidates Including Bullard for Fed Chair Ahead of Powell's Term Expiration, Possible 100 BPS Rate Cut
Authors
22
4 months ago
Aug 19, 2025
Aug 19, 2025
Economics
Business
Goldman Sachs Estimates BLS to Cut U.S. Jobs by Up to 950,000 in Largest 15-Year Revision Ahead of Fed Meeting
Authors
8
4 months ago
Aug 19, 2025
Aug 19, 2025
US Domestic Policy
Economics
Markets
Altseason Set for September with Ethereum at $15,000, Chainlink $300 Target, Fed Rate Cuts, and $1.4T Altcoin Market Cap
Authors
7
4 months ago
Aug 19, 2025
Aug 19, 2025
Executive Orders
Economics
Law
Fed’s Bowman Flags ‘Debanking’ Risk, Signals Possible Regulatory Action
Authors
9
4 months ago
Aug 19, 2025
Aug 19, 2025
US Legislation
Tariffs
Economics
S&P Keeps US at AA+ on Tariff Windfall Cushioning Spending Bill
Authors
16
4 months ago
Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18, 2025
Economics
Stocks
Business
Goldman Sachs Sees Fed Making Three 2025 Rate Cuts as Hiring Slows
Authors
17
4 months ago
Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18, 2025
Britain
Economics
Business
Sterling Holds Near $1.35 as Traders Await UK Inflation, Ukraine Talks
Authors
5
4 months ago
Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18, 2025
Australia
Economics
Business
Australian Dollar Gains as RBA Cuts Rates for Third Time in 2025
Authors
3
4 months ago
Aug 17, 2025
Aug 17, 2025
Economics
Business
Fed’s Goolsbee Signals Caution on Rate Cuts After Hot Inflation Prints
Authors
15
4 months ago
Aug 15, 2025
Aug 15, 2025
Law
Regulation
Business
Fed Ends 2023 ‘Novel Activities’ Program, Easing Crypto Oversight for Banks
Authors
45
4 months ago
Aug 15, 2025
Aug 15, 2025
Economics
Business
Fed Chair Contenders Zervos and Sumerlin Urge Half-Point Rate Cut
Authors
13
4 months ago
Aug 13, 2025
Aug 13, 2025
Economics
Markets
Business
U.S. Dollar Drops Nearly 10% in 2025, Falls Below 960 Pesos Amid Fed Rate Cut Pressure and Bitcoin Hedge Appeal
Authors
5
4 months ago
Aug 13, 2025
Aug 13, 2025
Economics
Stocks
Business
Treasury Secretary Bessent Urges Fed to Cut Rates by 50 Basis Points in September, Suggests 150-175 Bps Lower Amid Series of Cuts
Authors
41
4 months ago

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