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Top stories

Fed’s Waller Backs September 25-Point Cut, Signals More Easing Ahead

Fed’s Waller Backs September 25-Point Cut, Signals More Easing Ahead

Authors

36

1 year ago

Markets Put 87% Odds on Fed September Rate Cut

Markets Put 87% Odds on Fed September Rate Cut

Authors

6

1 year ago

Fed’s Lisa Cook Sues Trump, Challenging Attempted Firing and Fed Independence

US Gov Appointments

Fed’s Lisa Cook Sues Trump, Challenging Attempted Firing and Fed Independence

Authors

115

1 year ago

FHFA’s Pulte Files Second Criminal Referral Alleging Mortgage Fraud by Fed’s Lisa Cook

Authors

15

1 year ago

US Economy Expands 3.3% in Second Quarter on Trade, Investment

Authors

30

1 year ago

Global Markets Steady as Investors Wait for Key US PCE Inflation

Authors

19

1 year ago

US Domestic Policy

White House Vows to Keep Up Fight With Fed Governor Lisa Cook

Authors

5

1 year ago

US Gov Appointments

Senate Republicans Fast-Track Miran for Fed Board Before September Meeting

Authors

6

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Fed

How many net Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Nov 1, 8:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2713193

OptionProbability

Other

0 cuts (Target 3.50-3.75)

1 cut (Target 3.25-3.50)

2 cuts (Target 3.00-3.25)

3 cuts (Target 2.75-3.00)

4 cuts (Target 2.50-2.75)

88

8

2

1

1

1

Will the Fed change its 2% inflation target before the end of Trump’s term?

Dec 14, 1:34 PMJan 20, 11:59 AM

16.53%chance

5010354

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1717

793

Will the Fed be abolished during Trump's term?

Nov 14, 9:57 PMJan 21, 2:59 AM

3.83%chance

279104

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5008

200

Fed decision in December?

Sep 4, 5:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

124625

OptionProbability

Increase

No change

Decrease

66

30

4

Will Nick Fuentes be revealed to be a Fed before 2040?

Feb 19, 4:04 AMJan 16, 6:59 AM

51.11%chance

244038

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1288

554

Double digit US inflation within six months of Jerome Powell's leaving as Fed chair?

Apr 21, 12:20 AMNov 23, 1:18 AM

3.19%chance

163477

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3466

802

2026 rate hike parlay (Fed + ECB + BOJ + BOE + PBC)

May 25, 10:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.25%chance

212654

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1721

581

Another Fed Rate Hike in 2026?

Sep 17, 11:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

84.32%chance

14644

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1267

943

Kevin Hassett becomes Fed chair in 2026?

Jan 6, 12:47 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

1%chance

16487

OptionVotes

YES

NO

331

1

Are the “Patriot Front” marchers >20% feds?

May 16, 9:59 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

22.79%chance

13449

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1080

964

🇺🇸 Will the Fed raise interest rates in October 2026?

Sep 11, 7:40 PMOct 27, 5:00 PM

53.43%chance

16367

OptionVotes

NO

YES

107

93

Will Fed raise interest rates in 2027?

Aug 3, 12:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

65%chance

648

OptionVotes

NO

YES

136

73

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 29, 2025
Aug 29, 2025
Economics
Business
Markets Put 87% Odds on Fed September Rate Cut
Authors
6
1 year ago
Aug 29, 2025
Aug 29, 2025
Economics
Business
US Economy Expands 3.3% in Second Quarter on Trade, Investment
Authors
30
1 year ago
Aug 29, 2025
Aug 29, 2025
Tariffs
Economics
Stocks
Global Markets Steady as Investors Wait for Key US PCE Inflation
Authors
19
1 year ago
Aug 29, 2025
Aug 29, 2025
US Judiciary
Law
Politics
FHFA’s Pulte Files Second Criminal Referral Alleging Mortgage Fraud by Fed’s Lisa Cook
Authors
15
1 year ago
Aug 29, 2025
Aug 29, 2025
Economics
Business
US Dollar Index Steadies at 97.9, Set for 2% August Drop on Fed Rate Cut Bets; Gold Nears $3,400 as Core PCE Inflation Hits 2.9% YoY
Authors
9
1 year ago
Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
Economics
Business
Fed’s Waller Backs September 25-Point Cut, Signals More Easing Ahead
Authors
36
1 year ago
Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
US Judiciary
US Gov Appointments
Economics
Fed’s Lisa Cook Sues Trump, Challenging Attempted Firing and Fed Independence
Authors
115
1 year ago
Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
US Domestic Policy
Politics
White House Vows to Keep Up Fight With Fed Governor Lisa Cook
Authors
5
1 year ago
Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
Economics
Business
Fed Reverse Repo at $34.7B; 7-Year Treasury Auction Lowest Bid-To-Cover Ratio; 4-Week Bill Bids $261.6M; Discount Window Loans $4.19B
Authors
4
1 year ago
Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
US Gov Appointments
Economics
Politics
Senate Republicans Fast-Track Miran for Fed Board Before September Meeting
Authors
6
1 year ago
Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
US Domestic Policy
Economics
Politics
Gold Steadies Near $3,400 Ahead of PCE Data and Fed Independence Fight
Authors
10
1 year ago
Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
Europe
Economics
Business
ECB’s Rehn Warns Trump Pressure on Fed Risks Higher Inflation
Authors
7
1 year ago
Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
Asia
Economics
Stocks
Asian Stocks Rise on Fed Chair Powell’s Signal of Possible September Rate Cut; Japan, Korea, Australia Gain Amid 84% Easing Odds
Authors
8
1 year ago
Aug 27, 2025
Aug 27, 2025
Economics
Stocks
Business
Markets Hold Steady Despite Trump’s Escalating Fed Criticism
Authors
3
1 year ago
Aug 27, 2025
Aug 27, 2025
Economics
Business
Fed’s Williams Says Slowing Growth May Allow Rate Cuts While Staying Restrictive
Authors
10
1 year ago
Aug 27, 2025
Aug 27, 2025
Economics
Business
New York Fed’s Williams Underscores Importance of Central Bank Independence
Authors
4
1 year ago
Aug 27, 2025
Aug 27, 2025
Economics
Business
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent Urges Federal Reserve to Return to Core Mission, Cites Independence Concerns and Calls for Internal Review
Authors
6
1 year ago
Aug 27, 2025
Aug 27, 2025
US Judiciary
US Domestic Policy
Politics
Trump Uses Federal Power for Retribution, Tests Legal Guardrails
Authors
12
1 year ago
Aug 27, 2025
Aug 27, 2025
US Domestic Policy
Economics
Politics
Trump’s Attack on Federal Reserve Risks Raising Bond Yields, Borrowing Costs and Threatening Fed Independence, Says Bill Dudley
Authors
9
1 year ago
Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
Economics
Stocks
Business
Russell 2000 Outshines as U.S. Stocks Rebound Amid Fed Turmoil
Authors
10
1 year ago
Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
US Domestic Policy
Economics
Politics
Bessent Says Fed Independence Hinges on Public Trust, Credits Trump
Authors
12
1 year ago
Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
Economics
Politics
Business
Trump Says Fed Chair Powell Will “Get Out Quickly”
Authors
5
1 year ago
Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
US Legislation
Economics
Politics
Fed Cites Statutory Guardrails Protecting Governors From Political Firing
Authors
4
1 year ago
Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
Economics
Business
World
BIS Chief Warns Political Threats Endanger Central-Bank Independence
Authors
5
1 year ago
Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
France
US Gov Appointments
Stocks
French Political Turmoil and Fed Rift Send European Stocks Lower
Authors
7
1 year ago
Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
Economics
Business
Commerce Secretary Lutnick Urges Federal Reserve to Cut Rates
Authors
4
1 year ago
Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
Economics
Business
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index Narrows Decline, Beats Forecasts
Authors
4
1 year ago
Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
Economics
Business
Morgan Stanley Predicts Two 25 Basis Point Fed Rate Cuts in 2025, Quarterly Cuts in 2026 with Terminal Range at 2.75%-3.0%
Authors
22
1 year ago
Aug 25, 2025
Aug 25, 2025
Economics
Business
Fed’s Logan Backs Further Balance-Sheet Run-Off as Williams Stresses Persistently Low Neutral Rate
Authors
11
1 year ago
Aug 25, 2025
Aug 25, 2025
Economics
Business
Fed’s Williams Set to Speak in Mexico City as Rate-Cut Debate Intensifies
Authors
4
1 year ago
Aug 25, 2025
Aug 25, 2025
Economics
Stocks
Business
Powell Boosts Odds of September Fed Cut; Markets Shift Focus to Data and Nvidia
Authors
68
1 year ago
Aug 25, 2025
Aug 25, 2025
Korea
US Gov Appointments
US Foreign Policy
White House Sees Fed Chair Pick Months Away, Eyes Swift South Korea Trade Deal
Authors
7
1 year ago
Aug 25, 2025
Aug 25, 2025
Japan
Stocks
Business
Nikkei Tops 43,000 Intraday on Powell Rate-Cut Signal
Authors
16
1 year ago
Aug 25, 2025
Aug 25, 2025
Economics
Business
Gold Holds Above $3,350 as Powell Spurs Bets on September Fed Cut
Authors
3
1 year ago
Aug 24, 2025
Aug 24, 2025
Economics
Business
Powell Plans Overhaul of Fed’s 2020 Inflation Playbook, WSJ Reports
Authors
9
1 year ago
Aug 24, 2025
Aug 24, 2025
Economics
Markets
Business
Federal Reserve 25bps Rate Cut Odds Surge to 87% for September 17 FOMC Meeting, Boosting Crypto Sentiment
Authors
15
1 year ago
Aug 22, 2025
Aug 22, 2025
Economics
Business
Fed’s Musalem Flags Possible Rate Cut Pending August Jobs Data
Authors
3
1 year ago
Aug 22, 2025
Aug 22, 2025
Economics
Politics
Business
Trump Says Powell’s Prospective Rate Cuts Come ‘Too Late’
Authors
16
1 year ago
Aug 22, 2025
Aug 22, 2025
US Gov Appointments
Economics
Politics
Powell’s Dovish Jackson Hole Speech Fuels Rate-Cut Bets and Succession Talk
Authors
4
1 year ago
Aug 22, 2025
Aug 22, 2025
Economics
Stocks
Business
Powell Remarks Ignite 4% Rally in Russell 2000 Small Caps
Authors
14
1 year ago
Aug 22, 2025
Aug 22, 2025
Economics
Stocks
Business
AST SpaceMobile Gains on 7.5 Million Device Base, Subscription Growth and Fed Rate Cut Prospects with $47 to $65 Target
Authors
4
1 year ago
Aug 22, 2025
Aug 22, 2025
Economics
Stocks
Business
Tesla Jumps 4% After Powell Signals Possible Fed Rate Cuts
Authors
4
1 year ago
Aug 22, 2025
Aug 22, 2025
Tariffs
Economics
Politics
Powell Sees Tariff-Driven Price Rise as Short-Lived, Flags Uncertainty
Authors
19
1 year ago
Aug 22, 2025
Aug 22, 2025
Economics
Business
Fed Officials Stress Patience on Rate Cuts as Inflation Persists
Authors
10
1 year ago
Aug 21, 2025
Aug 21, 2025
Economics
Business
Fed's Goolsbee Says September Meeting ‘Live’ as Data Sends Mixed Signals
Authors
7
1 year ago
Aug 21, 2025
Aug 21, 2025
Law
Politics
Business
DOJ Official Presses Powell to Oust Fed Governor Cook Amid Mortgage Probe
Authors
10
1 year ago
Aug 21, 2025
Aug 21, 2025
Economics
Real Estate
Business
US 30-Year Mortgage Rate Stays at 6.58%, a 10-Month Low
Authors
10
1 year ago
Aug 21, 2025
Aug 21, 2025
Economics
Politics
Business
Navarro Calls Fed Chair Powell’s Approach ‘Unsettlingly Anti-Trump’
Authors
5
1 year ago
Aug 21, 2025
Aug 21, 2025
US Domestic Policy
Economics
Politics
U.S. Treasury Conducts $4 Billion Debt Buyback Amid Record $1.2 Trillion Interest Payments, Seen as QE Without Fed
Authors
11
1 year ago
Aug 21, 2025
Aug 21, 2025
Economics
Business
KC Fed's Schmid Resists September Cut, Says Inflation Still Near 3%
Authors
24
1 year ago
Aug 21, 2025
Aug 21, 2025
Economics
Business
Fed’s Bostic Sees Labor Replacement Rate at 50,000-75,000 Jobs
Authors
7
1 year ago
Aug 20, 2025
Aug 20, 2025
US Legislation
Regulation
CBDCs
Senator Cynthia Lummis Says Senate Will Pass Crypto Market-Structure Bill This Year Backed by Trump; CBDC Ban Added to Defense Bill
Authors
22
1 year ago
Aug 20, 2025
Aug 20, 2025
Economics
Politics
Business
Jefferies’ Zervos Calls Fed Policy Overly Tight, Questions Powell’s Independence
Authors
9
1 year ago
Aug 20, 2025
Aug 20, 2025
US Gov Appointments
Economics
Politics
Treasury's Bessent to Interview 11 Candidates Including Bullard for Fed Chair Ahead of Powell's Term Expiration, Possible 100 BPS Rate Cut
Authors
22
1 year ago
Aug 19, 2025
Aug 19, 2025
Economics
Business
Goldman Sachs Estimates BLS to Cut U.S. Jobs by Up to 950,000 in Largest 15-Year Revision Ahead of Fed Meeting
Authors
8
1 year ago
Aug 19, 2025
Aug 19, 2025
US Domestic Policy
Economics
Markets
Altseason Set for September with Ethereum at $15,000, Chainlink $300 Target, Fed Rate Cuts, and $1.4T Altcoin Market Cap
Authors
7
1 year ago
Aug 19, 2025
Aug 19, 2025
Executive Orders
Economics
Law
Fed’s Bowman Flags ‘Debanking’ Risk, Signals Possible Regulatory Action
Authors
9
1 year ago
Aug 19, 2025
Aug 19, 2025
US Legislation
Tariffs
Economics
S&P Keeps US at AA+ on Tariff Windfall Cushioning Spending Bill
Authors
16
1 year ago
Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18, 2025
Economics
Stocks
Business
Goldman Sachs Sees Fed Making Three 2025 Rate Cuts as Hiring Slows
Authors
17
1 year ago
Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18, 2025
Britain
Economics
Business
Sterling Holds Near $1.35 as Traders Await UK Inflation, Ukraine Talks
Authors
5
1 year ago
Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18, 2025
Australia
Economics
Business
Australian Dollar Gains as RBA Cuts Rates for Third Time in 2025
Authors
3
1 year ago
Aug 17, 2025
Aug 17, 2025
Economics
Business
Fed’s Goolsbee Signals Caution on Rate Cuts After Hot Inflation Prints
Authors
15
1 year ago
Aug 15, 2025
Aug 15, 2025
Law
Regulation
Business
Fed Ends 2023 ‘Novel Activities’ Program, Easing Crypto Oversight for Banks
Authors
45
1 year ago
Aug 15, 2025
Aug 15, 2025
Economics
Business
Fed Chair Contenders Zervos and Sumerlin Urge Half-Point Rate Cut
Authors
13
1 year ago
Aug 13, 2025
Aug 13, 2025
Economics
Markets
Business
U.S. Dollar Drops Nearly 10% in 2025, Falls Below 960 Pesos Amid Fed Rate Cut Pressure and Bitcoin Hedge Appeal
Authors
5
1 year ago
Aug 13, 2025
Aug 13, 2025
Economics
Stocks
Business
Treasury Secretary Bessent Urges Fed to Cut Rates by 50 Basis Points in September, Suggests 150-175 Bps Lower Amid Series of Cuts
Authors
41
1 year ago

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