
As the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting approaches, market participants are adjusting their expectations regarding the S&P 500 Index ($SPX). On January 29, the $VIX indicates a modest anticipated movement of just 0.9% for the $SPX, suggesting a potential dovish pause from the Federal Reserve. The pricing for the $SPX 0-day-to-expiration (0DTE) straddle is relatively low at $37.75, reflecting a market sentiment that this FOMC meeting may be less critical compared to upcoming technology earnings reports. Traders are also noting that the market is responding to recent volatility, including a sharp decline earlier in the week. Overall, the market appears to be recalibrating its focus ahead of both the Fed meeting and tech earnings announcements.





$spy levels pre Fed https://t.co/5p2zjEQaMh
$SPX 0DTE straddle priced at a tepid $37 today for FOMC, so market clearly saying Fed meeting is less key this time around while potentially Tech earnings is more key tonight and tomorrow
Ahead of the FOMC we see the $SPX 0DTE straddle priced at a tepid $37.75, or 62bps (ref 6,070 IV 24%). That's not much for the first FOMC under the new Presidential regime, and after Powell spooked traders in December + that sharp illiquid drop on Monday. Despite the VIX drop,… https://t.co/GYNuzW4V0l