OpenAI chief executive officer Sam Altman warned that the artificial-intelligence industry is overheating, telling The Verge and other outlets that investors are “overexcited” and that today’s enthusiasm resembles the late-1990s dot-com bubble. Altman, whose company is seeking a secondary share sale that could value it near $500 billion, said some backers are likely to be “very burnt” even though he still views AI as a transformational technology. His remarks landed as a Massachusetts Institute of Technology study highlighted how little payoff most companies are seeing from the technology. The NANDA initiative’s “GenAI Divide” report found that 95 percent of corporate generative-AI pilot projects have failed to achieve measurable profit-and-loss impact despite $30 billion to $40 billion in enterprise spending; only 5 percent of pilots delivered rapid revenue gains. The twin signals of exuberant funding and disappointing results rattled financial markets. On Aug. 19 the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite fell 1.4 percent, its steepest one-day decline in almost three weeks, while the S&P 500 information-technology sector slid about 2.5 percent for the week through Aug. 20. Chipmaker Nvidia, which has become the emblem of the AI trade, dropped 3.5 percent in a single session and roughly 5 percent over the week; software group Palantir tumbled 9.4 percent the same day. Some strategists say the pullback is a healthy correction after a 50 percent surge in tech shares since April, but others caution that sky-high valuations leave the sector vulnerable if promised productivity gains fail to materialise. While Altman insists long-term value will be “huge,” the MIT findings underscore the gulf between AI’s potential and current corporate execution, sharpening debate over whether the boom is already showing bubble-era cracks.
A recent MIT study found that 95 percent of companies studied are getting zero return on AI—despite investing billions. Investors have been expecting record returns for their expenditures, but some are beginning to fear this could be an indication of a speculative bubble.
Investors have put up with record AI spend from tech companies because they expect record returns. A new study calls those returns into question. https://t.co/xqbB8KgNwh
Notice how Bloomberg is concerned about AI valuations and suddenly comparing this to the dot-com bubble. https://t.co/dFkjjswwdj