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Prediction markets for MIT

Will a team consisting primarily of ML models complete MIT Mystery Hunt by 2030?

Jan 2, 7:09 AMJan 29, 7:59 AM

37.29%chance

2515523

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1146

437

Will I be admitted to MIT in the fall of 2026?

Jun 2, 3:22 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

81.9%chance

377254

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2127

470

Will LLMs be banned at the 2026 MIT Mystery Hunt?

Nov 12, 9:48 PMJan 17, 7:59 AM

18.11%chance

255053

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1068

968

Will I get into MIT?

May 17, 11:55 PMJan 1, 12:54 AM

50.29%chance

484061

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1006

994

What percent of enrolled MIT students will have undergone artificial gain of intelligence at the end of 2030?

Jul 11, 3:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.88%chance

342326

OptionProbability

YES

NO

1220

947

Will Tara do MIT Spokes before the end of 2028?

Oct 1, 7:37 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

24.19%chance

111215

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1758

416

Did MIT reject me from success?

Aug 22, 2:08 AMMar 15, 6:59 AM

9.4%chance

151000

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1085

952

Professor to administrator ratio increases at MIT, Yale, Harvard 2023-2033

Oct 7, 6:41 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

17.2%chance

14876

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1243

913

Richard Yang sells out to computer science at MIT by end of April 2026?

May 10, 2:17 AMApr 30, 11:59 PM

51.13%chance

9451

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1428

1000

MIT below first in QS Physics & Astronomy rankings before 2028?

Apr 16, 12:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.67%chance

7304

OptionVotes

YES

NO

111

90

Will Claire Wang major in Course 6 at MIT?

Aug 15, 3:03 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

73.83%chance

12284

OptionVotes

YES

NO

995

960

Will Claire Wang get at least one class with a GPA of less than 3.5/5.0 at MIT?

Feb 10, 3:25 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

55.18%chance

440

OptionVotes

NO

YES

118

103

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