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Top stories

France Battles Aude Wildfire, Seven Departments in Orange Heatwave, and Multiple Flooding Alerts Including Gard and Haut-Rhin

Natural Disasters

France Battles Aude Wildfire, Seven Departments in Orange Heatwave, and Multiple Flooding Alerts Including Gard and Haut-Rhin

Authors

13

6 months ago

France Pledges €8 Million to Aude Farmers After Wildfire

Natural Disasters

France Pledges €8 Million to Aude Farmers After Wildfire

Authors

11

6 months ago

Occitanie Invests €65 Million in Education and Security, Offers €800 Savings and Free Travel for 230,000 Students

Occitanie Invests €65 Million in Education and Security, Offers €800 Savings and Free Travel for 230,000 Students

Authors

3

5 months ago

Prediction markets for Aude

Rotten Tomatoes Verified Audience 'Popcornmeter' Score for 'Melania'? 🍿 (2026)

Jan 28, 8:51 PMFeb 16, 4:59 AM

7612285

OptionProbability

98% or Higher

96% – 97%

0% – 59%

60% – 85%

86% – 95%

89

7

2

1

1

Will the Audi works Formula 1 team win a Grand Prix in 2026, its first season?

Jun 11, 8:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.86%chance

254168

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2010

498

Will OpenAI allow near full access to the weights of their best-trained model to an external auditor by the end of 2030?

Jul 4, 10:14 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

60%chance

602925

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1337

880

SOAI#7: A movie or short film produced with significant use of AI wins major audience praise and sparks backlash

Oct 9, 11:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

64.45%chance

282673

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1346

743

Freestyle Chess will have a higher online audience than Classical Chess by 2030.

Feb 14, 10:16 AMDec 22, 5:59 AM

24.41%chance

161639

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1760

568

Audible sells books narrated by AI voice replacements of celebrities or characters before 2029

Jun 11, 2:15 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

85.84%chance

351327

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1349

898

Kindle+LLM+audio readout combination product is available from Amazon by mid 2027

Dec 16, 5:23 PMJul 1, 5:59 AM

38.74%chance

17460

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1116

1014

By 2040, will there be audio translation tech that's a full substitute for knowing a foreign language?

Dec 29, 7:24 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

86.25%chance

15406

OptionVotes

YES

NO

988

903

Will "Auditing language models for hidden objectives" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Nov 5, 10:25 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

11.16%chance

1250

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1250

964

What will the Eastern section of Melbourne's Suburban Rail Loop Cost? ($AUD Billions)

Dec 5, 10:32 AMDec 31, 1:00 PM

30.66%chance

390

OptionProbability

YES

NO

324

273

Will "Towards Alignment Auditing as a Numbers-Go-Up..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Aug 6, 5:14 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14%chance

122

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

Will "Auditing Games for Sandbagging [paper]" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Dec 11, 12:30 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

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