Baltic News
Top stories
Prediction markets for Baltic
Will Russia launch an invasion against at least one of the Baltic states by February 2029?
Nov 6, 4:14 PMFeb 3, 7:59 AM
18.41%chance
9048869
OptionVotes
12750
6385
Will Russia attack Baltic states (Lithuania, Latvia or Estonia) by 2030?
Jan 21, 1:09 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
23.08%chance
10028985
OptionVotes
1181
1044
Will Kaliningrad achieve independence from Russia by the end of 2026?
Feb 4, 5:32 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
2.2%chance
7120905
OptionVotes
3599
875
If Russia starts a war against a Baltic state, will the US military engage in combat against the Russian military?
May 20, 7:33 AMJan 27, 10:59 PM
46.35%chance
609746
OptionVotes
1076
930
Air Baltic defaults on 2024 14.5% EUR bond before August 14, 2029?
Apr 22, 8:31 PMAug 13, 11:59 PM
95.36%chance
177548
OptionVotes
4531
221
OptionVotes
2144
735
OptionVotes
5384
829
Will Russia attempt to militarily seize the Suwałki Gap before 2030?
Feb 26, 6:24 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
18.87%chance
293017
OptionVotes
1015
497
Will Russia attempt to militarily seize the Suwałki Gap before the end of 2026?
May 5, 6:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
3.33%chance
161535
OptionVotes
539
19
Will pro-Russian armed groups take control of a government building in any Baltic city or town by November 30, 2026?
Aug 27, 6:15 AMNov 30, 10:00 PM
8.95%chance
91184
OptionVotes
319
31
OptionProbability
34
29
8
7
5
5
3
3
2
1
1
1
1
OptionVotes
183
55
Latest stories
Latest stories
