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Prediction markets for Bay Area
Will Waymo One expand its SF Bay Area service area to Marin County by December 31, 2026?
Jan 3, 9:53 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM
69.37%chance
8025385
OptionVotes
15021
6674
Will 5,000+ people live in a new city in the Bay Area financed by Silicon Valley moguls by 2030?
Aug 27, 6:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
21.68%chance
12111391
OptionVotes
2024
1915
Frontier Valley breaks ground in the Bay Area by EOY2026?
Jul 3, 10:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
7.85%chance
72942
OptionVotes
3426
292
Will the California HSR meet its Bay Area<->LA ridership goals by 2030 (8.5M/y)
Jan 6, 6:13 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
2.49%chance
121254
OptionVotes
917
146
Will the Bay Area transit funding measure pass in November
Feb 4, 11:02 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM
69.95%chance
10522
OptionVotes
271
156
Will the California HSR meet its Bay Area<->LA revenue goals by 2030 ($683M/y)
Jan 6, 6:12 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
5.85%chance
8432
OptionVotes
277
50
OptionVotes
438
23
Will Waymo One expand its SF Bay Area service area to Marin County by December 31, 2026?
Aug 1, 4:23 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM
67.93%chance
5171
OptionVotes
146
69
How many tickets will be sold for Bay Area Secular Solstice 2026?
Sep 14, 12:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
1150
OptionProbability
34
24
24
18
In 2030, will the Bay Area retain its dominant role and position?
Apr 7, 3:30 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
81.32%chance
8104
OptionVotes
294
148
If AI destroys the world by 2035, will it be largely due to a company/lab based in the San Francisco Bay Area?
Jul 29, 6:33 PMJul 2, 3:59 AM
67.07%chance
554
OptionVotes
188
141
Will SF Bay area water have higher microplastic contamination in 2028 than in 2026?
Jan 22, 10:26 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
61%chance
013
OptionVotes
63
40
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