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Prediction markets for Bay Area
Will 5,000+ people live in a new city in the Bay Area financed by Silicon Valley moguls by 2030?
Aug 27, 6:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
24.05%chance
11911172
OptionVotes
1974
1824
Will Waymo One expand its SF Bay Area service area to Marin County by December 31, 2026?
Jan 3, 9:53 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM
63.71%chance
596835
OptionVotes
13221
7577
Will Waymo give public driverless rides on a freeway in the SF Bay Area by the end of 2025? [description]
Dec 10, 10:08 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
80%chance
172495
OptionVotes
2000
500
Will I be the subject of a Craigslist Missed Connection in the Bay Area before the end of 2025?
Jun 13, 5:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
29.61%chance
151034
OptionVotes
1542
649
Frontier Valley breaks ground in the Bay Area by EOY2026?
Jul 3, 10:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
23.29%chance
5853
OptionVotes
1815
551
Will the California HSR meet its Bay Area<->LA ridership goals by 2030 (8.5M/y)
Jan 6, 6:13 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
21.74%chance
11454
OptionVotes
203
117
Will the California HSR meet its Bay Area<->LA revenue goals by 2030 ($683M/y)
Jan 6, 6:12 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
8.69%chance
7357
OptionVotes
202
55
Does Cambridge, MA water supply have lower disinfection byproduct concentration than SF Bay area water supply
Jan 24, 4:02 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
50.71%chance
443
OptionVotes
111
108
OptionVotes
112
89
San Mateo County joins Bay Area regional transit funding measure?
Jul 25, 5:19 AMAug 11, 5:18 AM
52.49%chance
327
OptionVotes
105
95
Santa Clara County joins Bay Area regional transit funding measure?
Jul 25, 5:20 AMAug 11, 5:19 AM
51.96%chance
226
OptionVotes
104
96
Will SF Bay area water have higher microplastic contamination in 2028 than in 2026?
Jan 22, 10:26 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
61%chance
013
OptionVotes
63
40
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