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Top stories

Venezuela Condemns U.S. Naval Deployment in Caribbean, Cites Cuban Warning, Strengthens Ties with Belarus, China, India, Brazil

US Foreign Policy

Venezuela Condemns U.S. Naval Deployment in Caribbean, Cites Cuban Warning, Strengthens Ties with Belarus, China, India, Brazil

Authors

4

1 year ago

Russia and Ukraine Swap 146 Prisoners Each in UAE-Brokered Deal

Russia and Ukraine Swap 146 Prisoners Each in UAE-Brokered Deal

Authors

18

1 year ago

Labour Grandees Clash Over ECHR Exit as Asylum Hotel Battle Escalates

Labour Grandees Clash Over ECHR Exit as Asylum Hotel Battle Escalates

Authors

13

1 year ago

Poland Blames Russian Shahed Drone for Cornfield Blast, Denounces ‘Provocation’

Authors

35

1 year ago

Iran’s President Pezeshkian Signs Ten Agreements in Armenia, Opposes US Corridor, Meets Lukashenko to Boost Military Cooperation

Authors

14

1 year ago

Crunchyroll and Kadokawa Unveil 2026 ‘Sekiro’ Anime Adaptation

Authors

10

1 year ago

US Foreign Policy

Trump Thanks Lukashenko for Prisoner Releases, Presses for Freedom of 1,300 More

Authors

18

1 year ago

Russia and Belarus to Hold Zapad-2025 Drills Sept 12–16 with Nuclear, Oreshnik Missile Use Amid Burevestnik Test and UK Ukraine Deployment

Authors

20

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Belarus

Will Lukashenko still be the President of Belarus by the end of 2026?

Dec 31, 11:24 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

95.56%chance

4927152

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4923

391

Will a significant event occur at the Swedish embassy in Belarus before 2031?

May 6, 11:59 PMMar 6, 10:59 PM

44.9%chance

53522

OptionVotes

NO

YES

625

532

Will Belarus acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?

Mar 10, 12:16 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

7.33%chance

162210

OptionVotes

YES

NO

768

125

Will Lukashenko be president of Belarus by the end of 2027?

Jan 2, 4:05 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

91.94%chance

131892

OptionVotes

NO

YES

499

53

Will Belarus invade Ukraine by the end of 2026?

Aug 29, 2:31 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

7.16%chance

231156

OptionVotes

YES

NO

360

28

Will Belarus join Russia willingly before the end of 2027?

May 11, 8:55 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8.51%chance

20996

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1646

883

Will Russia or Belarus attack Poland in the next year?

Jul 3, 5:18 PMJul 3, 5:15 PM

16.44%chance

12728

OptionVotes

YES

NO

225

44

Will Alexander Lukashenko remain President of Belarus by the end of 2030?

Jan 5, 10:09 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

41.14%chance

12562

OptionVotes

NO

YES

147

139

Will Russia annex Belarus until 2030?

Feb 21, 12:54 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

21.61%chance

18463

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1136

949

Will Ukraine attack Belarus by the end of 2026

Jun 23, 9:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.49%chance

12306

OptionVotes

YES

NO

292

34

Who will be the next President of Belarus, after Lukashenko?

Oct 27, 6:37 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

10264

OptionProbability

Other

Viktar Babaryka

Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya

-- State of Belarus will be substantially dissolved ---

Siarhiej Cichanouski

Andrey Dmitriyeu

-- office of President will be substantially dissolved ---

Siarhei Cherachen

26

24

19

9

9

6

4

3

[Metaculus] Will Russia significantly incorporate Belarus into the Union State before 2030?

Nov 7, 2:30 PMFeb 2, 12:00 PM

39.8%chance

539

OptionVotes

YES

NO

147

117

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