Cascades News

YES

Cascading failure (like something went wrong and the recovery procedure had an issue that made it worse)

Loss of synchronism

Strain on electrical/transmission infrastructure principally caused by renewable energy sources

Low or insufficient inertia

Battery storage

Renewables made the grid less stable

Never found root cause

Accidental infrastructure damage (fallen tower, wildlife, etc)

Bad weather

The cause didn't originate in Spain (was propagated by EU grid)

Intended infrastructure damage (cable cut, bomb, etc)

It's declared a cyber attack

Cyber attack & Russia-funded

Cyber attack & independent group

"Intern plugged wrong cable"

YES

Someone qualifies 12 balls in 2025

Eivind Dragsjo wins the 2025 Numbers Juggling League

At least 5 different endurance world records will be broken in 2025

Someone flashes 14 balls in 2025

Someone performs the trick f4444444444, from and to a cascade, before the end of 2026 (similarly to https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=42LOiJE5yLg)

Someone flashes 15 balls before the end of 2027

Someone flashes 10 clubs in 2025

At least 10 different endurance world records will be broken in 2025

NO

NO

YES

X-risk that can wipe out the human species in a short-timespan due to conscious/planning machine intelligence

X-risk that can wipe out the human species due to cascading effects without any central plan/conscious intent (potential for resistance but insufficient)

Events creating a global war-scale event that the human species can survive but with losses in the millions or at most billions

NO

Less than $10M or bankrupt

$10M - $100M

$100M - $1B

NO

YES