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Top stories

Sergey Kuznetsov Arrested as German Authorities Identify Six Ukrainians in Nord Stream Sabotage Amid Fighting in Dnipropetrovsk Region

Sergey Kuznetsov Arrested as German Authorities Identify Six Ukrainians in Nord Stream Sabotage Amid Fighting in Dnipropetrovsk Region

Authors

35

3 months ago

Zelenskyy Presses Putin Dialogue as Ukraine Marks 34th Independence Day

US Foreign Policy

Zelenskyy Presses Putin Dialogue as Ukraine Marks 34th Independence Day

Authors

43

3 months ago

Zelensky Warns Russia Amasses 100,000 Troops Near Pokrovsk Front

Zelensky Warns Russia Amasses 100,000 Troops Near Pokrovsk Front

Authors

5

3 months ago

Russian Forces Capture Kleban-Byk and Sredne in Donetsk; Ukraine Retakes Villages and Acknowledges Russian Entry into Dnipropetrovsk

Authors

20

3 months ago

Heisbourg, Guaino, Kaspi Highlight Military Support Need as Putin Demands Donetsk Surrender; German Chancellor Warns of Future War

Authors

10

3 months ago

Russia Says It Captures Three Settlements, Damages Tanker in Izmail Strike

Authors

15

4 months ago

Russia Claims 300 Ukrainian Drones Downed, Strikes Sapsan Depots

Authors

10

4 months ago

US Foreign Policy

Marco Rubio Confirms August 18 Meeting with Zelensky, Trump Invites EU and NATO Leaders, Denies US Support for Putin's Donetsk Demand

Authors

7

4 months ago

Prediction markets for Donetsk

How will the Ukraine-Russia border look like in 2030?

Jul 2, 9:32 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

667148166

OptionProbability

Ukraine ceding more than Crimea to Russia

Pre-2014: Crimea controlled by Ukraine

No cease-fire of 6 months

Pre-2022: Crimea controlled by Russia but not more

No Ukraine anymore

No Russia anymore

78

10

7

3

1

1

Will Ukrainian government accept a peace deal that includes the loss of contested lands in the east (Donetsk and/or Lugansk)

May 19, 12:55 PMDec 24, 4:59 AM

69.77%chance

25536410

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1545

604

Will Ukraine control any of Crimea before it takes back most of Luhansk or Donetsk?

Oct 8, 2:10 PMJan 1, 12:01 AM

56.41%chance

775214

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1006

1005

Will Russia control at least 90% of Donbass at the end of 2025?

Aug 17, 3:50 PMDec 31, 8:59 PM

28.46%chance

243786

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1585

631

Will Ukraine capture the city of Donetsk before the Russia-Ukraine war ends

Mar 31, 1:21 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

9.3%chance

252751

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2437

700

Will Russia formally cede any territory before 2030?

Jan 5, 3:20 PMDec 31, 11:00 PM

31.8%chance

302354

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1108

574

If Ukraine accepts the peace deal Russia offers, will Russia keep it for at least 30 years?

Mar 8, 9:56 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

56.09%chance

332347

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1371

237

Will Russia officially recognize Crimea, Donetsk, or Luhansk as part of Ukraine before 2030?

Jun 17, 2:53 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

16.98%chance

17958

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1080

965

When will Russia capture Pokrovsk (Krasnoarmeysk)?

Jul 20, 2:06 PMApr 1, 12:37 PM

17935

OptionProbability

By the end of March 2026

By the end of January 2026

By the end of September 2025

By the end of November 2025

98

94

0

0

Will Russia agree to a peace treaty that gives Ukraine control of Crimea, Donetsk, and Luhansk before 2100?

Jun 17, 2:58 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

18.64%chance

10600

OptionVotes

YES

NO

326

101

Will Ukraine agree to a peace treaty that gives Russia control of Crimea, Donetsk, and Luhansk before 2100?

Jun 17, 2:57 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

58.83%chance

16574

OptionVotes

NO

YES

251

96

When, if ever, will Russia control Konstantinovka?

Nov 13, 4:29 PMMay 31, 4:17 PM

3498

OptionProbability

By the end of May 2026

By the end of March 2026

By the end of January 2026

67

57

30

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 29, 2025
Aug 29, 2025
Russia
Ukraine
War
Zelensky Warns Russia Amasses 100,000 Troops Near Pokrovsk Front
Authors
5
3 months ago
Aug 25, 2025
Aug 25, 2025
Ukraine
War
Crime
Sergey Kuznetsov Arrested as German Authorities Identify Six Ukrainians in Nord Stream Sabotage Amid Fighting in Dnipropetrovsk Region
Authors
35
3 months ago
Aug 24, 2025
Aug 24, 2025
Ukraine
War
US Foreign Policy
Zelenskyy Presses Putin Dialogue as Ukraine Marks 34th Independence Day
Authors
43
3 months ago
Aug 24, 2025
Aug 24, 2025
Russia
Ukraine
War
Russian Forces Capture Kleban-Byk and Sredne in Donetsk; Ukraine Retakes Villages and Acknowledges Russian Entry into Dnipropetrovsk
Authors
20
3 months ago
Aug 24, 2025
Aug 24, 2025
Europe
War
Politics
Heisbourg, Guaino, Kaspi Highlight Military Support Need as Putin Demands Donetsk Surrender; German Chancellor Warns of Future War
Authors
10
3 months ago
Aug 20, 2025
Aug 20, 2025
Russia
Ukraine
War
Russia Says It Captures Three Settlements, Damages Tanker in Izmail Strike
Authors
15
4 months ago
Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18, 2025
Russia
Ukraine
War
Russia Claims 300 Ukrainian Drones Downed, Strikes Sapsan Depots
Authors
10
4 months ago
Aug 17, 2025
Aug 17, 2025
Ukraine
US Foreign Policy
Politics
Marco Rubio Confirms August 18 Meeting with Zelensky, Trump Invites EU and NATO Leaders, Denies US Support for Putin's Donetsk Demand
Authors
7
4 months ago
Aug 17, 2025
Aug 17, 2025
Ukraine
War
US Foreign Policy
Fox Report Says Trump Supports Donbas Deal; Rubio Issues Denial
Authors
21
4 months ago
Aug 17, 2025
Aug 17, 2025
US Elections
War
US Foreign Policy
Trump Reposts Call for Ukraine to Cede Territory to Russia
Authors
5
4 months ago
Aug 17, 2025
Aug 17, 2025
Ukraine
War
US Foreign Policy
Rubio Says Ukraine Peace Deal Won’t Cede All Occupied Territory to Russia
Authors
4
4 months ago

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