El Salvador News
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Prediction markets for El Salvador
Is at least one of the stories about an innocent person deported by the US to prison in El Salvador substantially true?
Mar 29, 8:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
98.63%chance
2318382
OptionVotes
8486
118
Will the Trump administration deport a US citizen to El Salvador this year?
Mar 17, 2:00 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
7.76%chance
6610228
OptionVotes
3447
290
Will Trump accept El Salvador’s offer to house U.S. criminals?
Feb 4, 4:33 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
12.8%chance
169433
OptionVotes
4980
990
Will Bitcoin "Volcano Bonds" from El Salvador be issued by 2025?
Feb 2, 9:20 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
4.34%chance
195669
OptionVotes
4976
319
Will Nayib Bukele be the leader of El Salvador in 2030?
Jul 29, 1:05 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM
67.14%chance
304222
OptionVotes
1509
542
Will another country follow El Salvador in adopting Bitcoin as legal tender by the end of 2025?
May 13, 3:00 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
17.33%chance
212460
OptionVotes
2204
414
Will Kilmar Abrego Garcia be deported to El Salvador before 2029?
Jun 7, 3:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
22.88%chance
121332
OptionVotes
1836
545
Will the US knowingly deport at least one citizen to El Salvador for imprisonment by EOY2025?
Apr 3, 2:43 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
23.09%chance
361275
OptionVotes
183
55
Will the next El Salvador presidential election be free and fair?
Apr 18, 8:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
33.7%chance
15616
OptionVotes
1403
713
Will a sitting US president visit El Salvador through 2029?
Aug 6, 3:58 PMJan 1, 12:59 PM
35.29%chance
14231
OptionVotes
1049
968
Will El Salvador's murder rate be below 10 per 100,000 inhabitants in 2030?
Mar 18, 12:28 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
63.98%chance
6131
OptionVotes
157
65
Will a political group in El Salvador significant in the next 20 years be founded by inmates of the megaprison?
May 4, 2:16 AMJan 1, 3:16 AM
53.7%chance
555
OptionVotes
147
113
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