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Prediction markets for Global South
Will GiveWell fund HPV vaccination to prevent cervical cancer by 1st January 2027?
Dec 18, 12:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
24.26%chance
224741
OptionVotes
5159
2655
Will GiveWell fund Chlorhexidine for umbilical cord care by 1st January 2027?
Dec 18, 12:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
24.96%chance
123209
OptionVotes
6132
3376
Vanadium in VRFBs reach 20% of global vanadium consumption by 2030?
Nov 26, 5:46 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
44.83%chance
91523
OptionVotes
1110
902
OptionVotes
1064
940
Which "The Economist" "World Ahead" predictions for 2026 will come true?
Dec 25, 1:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
29726
OptionProbability
80
67
64
63
60
10
OptionVotes
104
61
OptionVotes
1051
819
Will the Church of England take an affirming stance on gay marriage by 2030?
Apr 4, 12:03 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
62.87%chance
16250
OptionVotes
1166
885
Will South Africa's PGM output decline exceed 5% YoY in 2025?
Feb 9, 6:01 PMFeb 9, 6:01 PM
41.9%chance
2120
OptionVotes
1032
954
Will the APT tungsten price exceed $460/mtu on May 1, 2026?
Mar 2, 9:08 PMMay 1, 9:06 PM
80%chance
1100
OptionVotes
200
50
Will a Global South pavilion win the Golden Lion at Venice 2026?
Feb 16, 11:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
53.84%chance
280
OptionVotes
1080
926
OptionProbability
12
11
10
10
10
9
9
7
7
7
7