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Rubio Says Ukraine Peace Deal Won’t Cede All Occupied Territory to Russia

4 months ago

Trump Reposts Call for Ukraine to Cede Territory to Russia

US Elections

War

US Foreign Policy

Trump Reposts Call for Ukraine to Cede Territory to Russia

4 months ago

Fox Report Says Trump Supports Donbas Deal; Rubio Issues Denial

Ukraine

War

US Foreign Policy

Fox Report Says Trump Supports Donbas Deal; Rubio Issues Denial

4 months ago

How will the Ukraine-Russia border look like in 2030?

Jul 2, 9:32 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

667148166

OptionProbability

Ukraine ceding more than Crimea to Russia

Pre-2014: Crimea controlled by Ukraine

No cease-fire of 6 months

Pre-2022: Crimea controlled by Russia but not more

No Ukraine anymore

No Russia anymore

After the war in Ukraine ends, which of the following regions (oblasts) will be held by Ukraine?

Oct 10, 5:03 AMFeb 1, 6:59 AM

14969987

OptionProbability

Kyiv (oblast)

Chernihiv

Sumy

Mykolaiv

Odessa

Kharkiv

Kherson

Zaporizhzhia

Donestk

Luhansk

Crimea

Will Ukraine control any of Crimea before it takes back most of Luhansk or Donetsk?

Oct 8, 2:10 PMJan 1, 12:01 AM

56.41%chance

775214

OptionVotes

YES

1006

1005

Will Russia control at least 90% of Donbass at the end of 2025?

Aug 17, 3:50 PMDec 31, 8:59 PM

28.46%chance

243786

OptionVotes

YES

1585

631

What cities will change hands before the Ukraine-Russia war ends

Apr 2, 11:01 AMDec 10, 4:59 AM

283385

OptionProbability

Melitopol

Mariupol

Odesa

Kharkiv

Sevastopol

Luhansk

Will Russia formally cede any territory before 2030?

Jan 5, 3:20 PMDec 31, 11:00 PM

31.8%chance

302354

OptionVotes

YES

1108

574

If Ukraine accepts the peace deal Russia offers, will Russia keep it for at least 30 years?

Mar 8, 9:56 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

56.09%chance

332347

OptionVotes

YES

1371

237

Will Russia officially recognize Crimea, Donetsk, or Luhansk as part of Ukraine before 2030?

Jun 17, 2:53 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

16.98%chance

17958

OptionVotes

YES

1080

965

Will Russia agree to a peace treaty that gives Ukraine control of Crimea, Donetsk, and Luhansk before 2100?

Jun 17, 2:58 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

18.64%chance

10600

OptionVotes

YES

326

101

Will Ukraine agree to a peace treaty that gives Russia control of Crimea, Donetsk, and Luhansk before 2100?

Jun 17, 2:57 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

58.83%chance

16574

OptionVotes

YES

251

Will Ukraine invade any additional "minor constituent" (check description) of the Russian Federation before 2030-1-1?

Feb 6, 7:51 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

12.32%chance

8296

OptionVotes

YES

263

113

If Ukraine officially gives Luhansk to Russia, will Ukraine be a member state of the EU on January 1st 2032?

Jul 4, 10:27 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

53.41%chance

210

OptionVotes

YES

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How will the Ukraine-Russia border look like in 2030?

After the war in Ukraine ends, which of the following regions (oblasts) will be held by Ukraine?

Will Ukraine control any of Crimea before it takes back most of Luhansk or Donetsk?

Will Russia control at least 90% of Donbass at the end of 2025?

What cities will change hands before the Ukraine-Russia war ends

Will Russia formally cede any territory before 2030?

If Ukraine accepts the peace deal Russia offers, will Russia keep it for at least 30 years?

Will Russia officially recognize Crimea, Donetsk, or Luhansk as part of Ukraine before 2030?

Will Russia agree to a peace treaty that gives Ukraine control of Crimea, Donetsk, and Luhansk before 2100?

Will Ukraine agree to a peace treaty that gives Russia control of Crimea, Donetsk, and Luhansk before 2100?

Will Ukraine invade any additional "minor constituent" (check description) of the Russian Federation before 2030-1-1?

If Ukraine officially gives Luhansk to Russia, will Ukraine be a member state of the EU on January 1st 2032?

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