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Pakistan CTD Dismantles Alleged RAW Network in Karachi

4 months ago

Will AI be capable of producing an Annals-quality math paper for $100k by March 2030?

Mar 11, 6:21 AMMar 18, 6:59 AM

59.04%chance

194268635

OptionVotes

YES

5839

3348

Will OpenAI o1 (or any direct iteration like o3) get gold on any International Math Olympiad by the end of 2025?

Sep 12, 5:55 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

5.14%chance

154150007

OptionVotes

YES

49118

4323

Superhuman mathematical problem solving before 2030, assuming no AGI yet?

Apr 18, 9:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.25%chance

88143181

OptionVotes

YES

106395

18257

AI outperforms humans in all mathematical research areas by 2028?

Jul 17, 3:17 PMJul 18, 3:59 AM

12.07%chance

14668226

OptionVotes

YES

2833

1331

Perfect score achieved by an AI model in the International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2026?

Jul 19, 2:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

67.85%chance

6617807

OptionVotes

YES

10162

9359

Before 2028, will AI systems outperform mathematicians at suggesting reasonable explanations for new OEIS sequences?

Jul 20, 9:36 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

39.81%chance

114493

OptionVotes

YES

10081

9577

Will Ilya Sutskever be involved in mentoring a MATS project in any of MATS 9, 10, or 11?

Sep 9, 12:57 AMJan 31, 11:59 PM

7.91%chance

13684

OptionVotes

YES

341

Will someone from SERI MATS win a turing award by 2040

Jun 24, 11:19 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

21.29%chance

4105

OptionVotes

YES

192

Will someone write book about saving the world (HPMOR) featuring at least 5 SERI MATS people by 2029? (Pseudonyms ok)

Jun 11, 5:12 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

20%chance

1100

OptionVotes

YES

200

What penalty Will Matia Ahmet Minguzzi's killer get?

Aug 24, 3:28 PMDec 31, 3:25 PM

OptionProbability

Regular life imprisonment

Aggravated life imprisonment with possibility of release

Aggravated life imprisonment without possibility of release

What Will John Make In MathCounts?

Jul 26, 3:26 AMJun 1, 3:20 AM

OptionProbability

Nothing

School

Chapter

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National

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did you or anyone in your household have The Mat as a kid?

Oct 6, 10:16 PM

260

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Will AI be capable of producing an Annals-quality math paper for $100k by March 2030?

Will OpenAI o1 (or any direct iteration like o3) get gold on any International Math Olympiad by the end of 2025?

Superhuman mathematical problem solving before 2030, assuming no AGI yet?

AI outperforms humans in all mathematical research areas by 2028?

Perfect score achieved by an AI model in the International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2026?

Before 2028, will AI systems outperform mathematicians at suggesting reasonable explanations for new OEIS sequences?

Will Ilya Sutskever be involved in mentoring a MATS project in any of MATS 9, 10, or 11?

Will someone from SERI MATS win a turing award by 2040

Will someone write book about saving the world (HPMOR) featuring at least 5 SERI MATS people by 2029? (Pseudonyms ok)

What penalty Will Matia Ahmet Minguzzi's killer get?

What Will John Make In MathCounts?

did you or anyone in your household have The Mat as a kid?

Latest stories

Join our channels

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Telegram