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Prediction markets for Northern Ireland
OptionVotes
2373
798
OptionVotes
1404
819
OptionProbability
62
22
15
1
Will there be a border poll in Northern Ireland on Irish reunification by the end of 2028?
Oct 2, 8:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
34.93%chance
23846
OptionVotes
1165
895
Will Great Britain and Northern Ireland abolish its monarchy before 2030?
Apr 8, 10:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
6.4%chance
31780
OptionVotes
1184
958
Will Northern Ireland hold a referendum on leaving the UK before 2030?
Feb 8, 10:12 AMJan 1, 4:59 PM
6.83%chance
11771
OptionVotes
717
111
When will Michelle O’Neill be replaced as First Minister of Northern Ireland?
Feb 3, 1:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
6690
OptionProbability
17
16
14
10
10
8
7
6
6
5
1
OptionVotes
987
944
Will Northern Ireland join the Republic of Ireland by 2100?
Mar 17, 9:07 AMMar 17, 9:59 PM
73.83%chance
10208
OptionVotes
251
125
In the next Northern Ireland Assembly election, will nationalists win at least as many seats as unionists?
Jan 14, 2:12 PMJan 1, 12:00 PM
77.74%chance
8155
OptionVotes
237
164
Will Northern Ireland hold a referendum on leaving the UK before 2040?
Oct 2, 5:40 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
65.03%chance
7135
OptionVotes
136
73
Location of next non-BIOT land to leave the United Kingdom, its overseas territories, or crown dependencies?
Sep 19, 9:42 PMDec 31, 2:52 PM
3127
OptionProbability
67
41
34
25
25
18
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