Oğulbey Technology Base News

Turkey Unveils $460 Million Steel Dome Air Defense System With 47 Vehicles, Erdogan Launches $1.5 Billion ASELSAN Base

7 months ago

Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real?

Jun 7, 10:50 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

10%chance

8141187

OptionVotes

YES

29364

2889

Will AI have a trillion+ dollar impact by the end of 2030?

Oct 29, 12:44 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

96.04%chance

10423559

OptionVotes

YES

10119

734

Fully indistinguishable fast human deepfakes before 2030?

Feb 8, 2:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

67.93%chance

7014663

OptionVotes

YES

14553

6871

In 2028, will traditional Big Tech be clearly ahead of AI-specific companies in AI technology?

Feb 20, 10:35 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

27%chance

1459501

OptionVotes

YES

3594

1876

Who Will Be the First to Reveal Human-Level AGI?

Mar 3, 4:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

655171

OptionProbability

Deepmind/Google/Alphabet

OpenAI/Microsoft

Anthropic

xAI or another Elon Musk-led AI initiative

Another specific company (not one of the above or a subsidiary)

A government or coalition of governments

Meta (Facebook) AI Research

A university/academic institute/independent researcher/non-profit organization or a combination of these

Will Helion Energy deliver 50 MW of fusion-generated electricity to Microsoft before 2029?

May 10, 8:52 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

17.66%chance

414675

OptionVotes

YES

3003

1084

10. Brain-computer interfaces transition to mainstream technology, Neuralink position in lead shakier [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

46.58%chance

233790

OptionVotes

YES

1073

935

Will AI-linked nuclear power deals total 15 GW by EOY2026?

Jul 1, 10:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41.32%chance

143736

OptionVotes

YES

11916

8392

Will we have a "text to polymer-sequence-that-folds-into-a-nanomachine-with-the-requirements-from-text" AI by 2040?

May 25, 12:30 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

38.95%chance

91300

OptionVotes

YES

3864

3220

If intelligent aliens visit us, will AI-based technologies outperform analog linguistics in translating their language?

Mar 30, 12:12 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

69.65%chance

13186

OptionVotes

YES

1037

977

Will Chevron Emissions end at?

Mar 8, 9:02 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

OptionProbability

Below 58

58 - 59.9

60 - 61.9

62 - 63.9

64 - 65.9

66+

Will Saudi Aramco Emissions end at?

Mar 8, 9:04 PMMar 8, 10:59 PM

OptionProbability

Below 90

90 - 99

100 - 109

110 - 119

120 - 130

Above 130

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Aug 27, 2025
Aug 27, 2025
Turkey
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Turkey Unveils $460 Million Steel Dome Air Defense System With 47 Vehicles, Erdogan Launches $1.5 Billion ASELSAN Base
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Oğulbey Technology Base News

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Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real?

Will AI have a trillion+ dollar impact by the end of 2030?

Fully indistinguishable fast human deepfakes before 2030?

In 2028, will traditional Big Tech be clearly ahead of AI-specific companies in AI technology?

Who Will Be the First to Reveal Human-Level AGI?

Will Helion Energy deliver 50 MW of fusion-generated electricity to Microsoft before 2029?

10. Brain-computer interfaces transition to mainstream technology, Neuralink position in lead shakier [See full title!]

Will AI-linked nuclear power deals total 15 GW by EOY2026?

Will we have a "text to polymer-sequence-that-folds-into-a-nanomachine-with-the-requirements-from-text" AI by 2040?

If intelligent aliens visit us, will AI-based technologies outperform analog linguistics in translating their language?

Will Chevron Emissions end at?

Will Saudi Aramco Emissions end at?

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