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Parliament News

Poilievre Demands Clearer Self-Defence Law After Ontario Home Invasion Charge

Poilievre Demands Clearer Self-Defence Law After Ontario Home Invasion Charge

4

7 months ago

Will The Startup Party get more seats in Parliament after the next general election than Reform UK will?

Jul 21, 1:09 PMAug 16, 10:59 PM

1.71%chance

2125859

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7588

132

Will the Sweden Democrats increase their share in parliament in the Swedish 2026 general election?

Mar 30, 2:48 AMSep 21, 3:59 AM

39.27%chance

273123

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1275

760

Will transnational lists be implemented for the European Parliament elections in 2029?

May 18, 3:50 PMJun 25, 9:59 PM

30.67%chance

122156

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1504

665

Will a new party be elected to NZ Parliament by 2030?

Nov 6, 10:25 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

24.2%chance

232074

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1227

857

Will the European Parliament pass a no-confidence vote against the Commission during the 2024-2029 legislative period?

May 19, 3:12 PMJun 25, 9:59 PM

10.19%chance

52021

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2969

337

Will the UK Government move to restrict access to VPNs this Parliament?

Aug 20, 5:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.07%chance

101522

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1223

818

Will Polish parliament equalize the retirement age for men and women before 2030?

Jan 27, 12:27 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

34.01%chance

17902

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1435

666

Will there be an extraordinary Scottish Parliament election due to failure to elect a First Minister?

Jan 15, 12:24 PMMay 6, 11:59 PM

15.36%chance

5638

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1004

976

Will a political party aligned with the Effective Altruism movement hold 1+ seats in any nation's parliament by 2030?

Jan 13, 12:27 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

21.3%chance

21475

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1184

908

If there is a by-election in Hackney North and Stoke Newington in the 2024 parliament, which party will win?

May 24, 10:45 AMDec 31, 11:44 AM

3368

OptionProbability

Labour

Green

Liberal Democrats

Other

Conservatives

Reform UK

39

24

18

9

6

5

Will Polish parliament raise the retirement age before 2030?

Jan 27, 12:34 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

73.26%chance

10157

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1008

989

If Reform wins the next UK election will there be a Scottish independence referendum announced during that parliament?

Sep 19, 1:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20%chance

3127

OptionVotes

YES

NO

200

50

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Aug 25, 2025
Aug 25, 2025
Canada
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Poilievre Demands Clearer Self-Defence Law After Ontario Home Invasion Charge
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4
7 months ago

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