Parliament News

Poilievre Demands Clearer Self-Defence Law After Ontario Home Invasion Charge

10 months ago

Will The Startup Party get more seats in Parliament after the next general election than Reform UK will?

Jul 21, 1:09 PMAug 16, 10:59 PM

3%chance

2132109

OptionVotes

YES

5686

176

Which 2024 Labour Manifesto Commitments will be achieved in this Parliament?

Jun 13, 11:37 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

456528

OptionProbability

National Wealth Fund established and granted >=£7.3 billion seed capital

House of Lords hereditary peers prevented from sitting and voting

Voting franchise extended to 16 and 17 year olds

Minimum wage set at level equal to recommendations of the Resolution Foundation

>=40k increase in weekly GP appointments

2030 ban on new petrol and diesel car sales

UK energy independence from fossil fuels

>=1.5 million new homes built

Violent crime halved

100

Will the Sweden Democrats increase their share in parliament in the Swedish 2026 general election?

Mar 30, 2:48 AMSep 21, 3:59 AM

37.37%chance

273173

OptionVotes

YES

1325

728

Will transnational lists be implemented for the European Parliament elections in 2029?

May 18, 3:50 PMJun 25, 9:59 PM

30.67%chance

122156

OptionVotes

YES

1504

665

Will a new party be elected to NZ Parliament by 2030?

Nov 6, 10:25 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

24.2%chance

232074

OptionVotes

YES

1227

857

Will the European Parliament pass a no-confidence vote against the Commission during the 2024-2029 legislative period?

May 19, 3:12 PMJun 25, 9:59 PM

10.19%chance

52021

OptionVotes

YES

2969

337

Will the UK Government move to restrict access to VPNs this Parliament?

Aug 20, 5:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.2%chance

101587

OptionVotes

YES

1328

753

Following the 2026 New Zealand election, which parties will be represented in parliament?

Apr 12, 3:01 PMNov 7, 11:59 PM

4984

OptionProbability

National Party

Labour Party

New Zealand First

Green Party

ACT

Te Pāti Māori

The Opportunity Party

Animal Justice Party

Aotearoa Legalise Cannabis Party

Conservative Party NZ

NZ Outdoors & Freedom Party

Vision NZ

Women's Rights Party

Will Polish parliament equalize the retirement age for men and women before 2030?

Jan 27, 12:27 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

34.01%chance

17902

OptionVotes

YES

1435

666

Will a political party aligned with the Effective Altruism movement hold 1+ seats in any nation's parliament by 2030?

Jan 13, 12:27 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

21.3%chance

21475

OptionVotes

YES

1184

908

When will the first One Nation defection or departure in South Australian parliament occur?

Mar 25, 3:17 AMDec 31, 3:15 AM

3175

OptionProbability

No members leave or defect before parliament dissolves

Before 1 July 2026

July to December 2026

During 2027

2028 or later

Will Polish parliament raise the retirement age before 2030?

Jan 27, 12:34 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

73.26%chance

10157

OptionVotes

YES

1008

989

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Aug 25, 2025
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Poilievre Demands Clearer Self-Defence Law After Ontario Home Invasion Charge
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10 months ago

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Will The Startup Party get more seats in Parliament after the next general election than Reform UK will?

Which 2024 Labour Manifesto Commitments will be achieved in this Parliament?

Will the Sweden Democrats increase their share in parliament in the Swedish 2026 general election?

Will transnational lists be implemented for the European Parliament elections in 2029?

Will a new party be elected to NZ Parliament by 2030?

Will the European Parliament pass a no-confidence vote against the Commission during the 2024-2029 legislative period?

Will the UK Government move to restrict access to VPNs this Parliament?

Following the 2026 New Zealand election, which parties will be represented in parliament?

Will Polish parliament equalize the retirement age for men and women before 2030?

Will a political party aligned with the Effective Altruism movement hold 1+ seats in any nation's parliament by 2030?

When will the first One Nation defection or departure in South Australian parliament occur?

Will Polish parliament raise the retirement age before 2030?

Latest stories

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