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Top stories

Entergy Wins Louisiana Nod for Gas Plants Powering Meta Data Center

Entergy Wins Louisiana Nod for Gas Plants Powering Meta Data Center

Authors

4

11 hours ago

Prediction markets for Phase One

3. Donald Trump and Elon Musk will have a messy falling-out. This will have meaningful consequences for the world of AI.

Dec 27, 8:14 AMJan 3, 10:59 PM

80.14%chance

6116884

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2008

498

Will the UK HS2 rail line between London and Birmingham be operational before 2031?

Feb 16, 9:15 AMJan 1, 12:00 AM

5.26%chance

2411233

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11928

1118

Will a drug designed with significant contribution from an AlphaFold-like system pass a Phase I trial by end of 2025?

Sep 6, 3:00 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

20.67%chance

569741

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1959

510

Will the United States Air Force integrate an autonomous, AI-controlled fighter jet, like Lockheed's VISTA X-62, into their active service fleet by 2040?

Feb 24, 1:57 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

73.59%chance

212870

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1221

865

Will Harvard be found liable for damages to Gino, conditional on a trial verdict being reached by 2026?

Aug 22, 11:34 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

26.38%chance

162263

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1305

1290

Will the "Mad Scientists Theory of Governance" be cited by someone important?

Nov 26, 6:57 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

74.89%chance

311936

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1629

626

End of pre-training era for language models: Will an LM fine-tune for more FLOPs than it is pre-trained for, before 2026

May 5, 11:06 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

67.84%chance

221596

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1576

292

Thermal decomposition battery commercialized by 2050

Sep 13, 3:37 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

34.28%chance

13428

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1040

971

Does Janssen's CD59 gene therapy for age-related macular degeneration work?

Jun 4, 2:58 AMJun 11, 6:59 AM

34.12%chance

3401

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1393

723

Montana's experimental treatment centers licensed by EOY 2025

May 19, 8:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

46.73%chance

5190

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1068

937

Will Arketamine promote a greater anti-depressant effect than Esketamine?

Apr 17, 11:24 PMApr 24, 11:24 PM

56.27%chance

666

OptionVotes

YES

NO

946

945

Will the M72/AS01E tuberculosis vaccine candidate have an efficacy of 50% or higher in the phase 3 trial?

Aug 24, 4:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

58.76%chance

424

OptionVotes

NO

YES

97

83

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 20, 2025
Aug 20, 2025
Energy
Texas
Environment
Entergy Wins Louisiana Nod for Gas Plants Powering Meta Data Center
Authors
4
11 hours ago

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