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Prediction markets for Scotland
OptionProbability
31
26
26
4
3
3
3
2
2
1
1
1
OptionVotes
3213
723
Will JK Rowling be charged under The Hate Crime and Public Order (Scotland) Act 2021 by the end of 2026?
Apr 1, 5:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
4.49%chance
193729
OptionVotes
4089
637
OptionVotes
2398
795
When the next referendum is held on Scotland's Union with the United Kingdom, will Scotland vote to leave?
Jun 30, 1:52 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
50%chance
431758
OptionVotes
1078
908
If Scotland leaves the UK, will they join the EU within 2 years?
Aug 22, 11:06 PMDec 31, 12:00 PM
27.83%chance
361733
OptionVotes
1151
916
Will there be a Scottish independence referendum before 2027 if the Gender Recognition Reform (Scotland) Bill doesn't receive Royal Assent?
Jan 18, 2:09 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM
2%chance
6999
OptionVotes
1121
26
OptionVotes
1232
893
Will Scotland leave the UK before 2030 if the Gender Recognition Reform (Scotland) Bill doesn't receive Royal Assent?
Jan 18, 2:09 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM
5.87%chance
8499
OptionVotes
530
51
OptionVotes
259
163
If Scotland leaves the UK, will they join NATO within 2 years?
Oct 16, 12:26 PMDec 31, 11:00 AM
64%chance
8161
OptionVotes
229
177
OptionVotes
299
210
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