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Prediction markets for Siberia
Will China take any part of Russian territory for its own within the next 3 years?
Dec 19, 8:44 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
9.51%chance
272646
OptionVotes
3085
324
OptionProbability
62
62
43
35
28
26
24
21
21
21
20
20
18
13
OptionVotes
1046
956
OptionProbability
34
28
15
8
6
3
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Will the Reindeer, a.k.a. Karibou (Rangifer tarandus) become extinct in the current century?
Mar 27, 9:46 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
6.61%chance
51242
OptionVotes
1382
356
At any point before start of 2050, will a country named Chechnya (or similar) be a member of the UN?
May 21, 3:39 PMDec 31, 7:59 PM
39.52%chance
7372
OptionVotes
1237
808
At any point before the start of 2050, will a country named Siberia (or something similar) be a member of the UN?
May 23, 4:31 PMDec 31, 7:59 PM
14.79%chance
12263
OptionVotes
1070
969
Will the Mountain Hare, a.k.a. Snow Hare (Lepus timidus) become extinct in the current century?
Mar 29, 9:30 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
13.87%chance
4261
OptionVotes
760
403
Will Russia cede territory to China by 2040 as predicted by Sarah Paine?
Feb 7, 7:25 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM
51.81%chance
7202
OptionVotes
1037
964
Will the Power of Siberia 2 gas pipeline from Russia to China be completed by 2040?
Jan 28, 12:56 PMJan 1, 4:59 PM
23.45%chance
5173
OptionVotes
166
42
At any point before start of 2050, will a country named Yakutia or Sakha (or something similar) be a member of the UN?
May 6, 7:27 AMDec 31, 7:59 PM
15.87%chance
6171
OptionVotes
230
43
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