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Prediction markets for South African
Will the International Court of Justice (ICJ) determine that Israel committed genocide in Gaza?
Jan 3, 7:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
20.96%chance
364112015
OptionVotes
1804
1101
Will the ICJ determine that Israel committed war crimes in Gaza?
Jan 3, 7:17 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
84.76%chance
11615248
OptionVotes
4855
638
OptionProbability
61
23
10
3
2
1
Will an AD duty order on unwrought palladium from Russia be issued by Oct 31, 2026?
Feb 16, 5:48 PMOct 31, 5:48 PM
1%chance
106202
OptionVotes
6202
34
Will GiveWell fund HPV vaccination to prevent cervical cancer by 1st January 2027?
Dec 18, 12:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
22.61%chance
235041
OptionVotes
5459
2563
Will GiveWell fund Chlorhexidine for umbilical cord care by 1st January 2027?
Dec 18, 12:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
22.68%chance
133709
OptionVotes
6632
3220
Will the United States will have an Asian-American First Lady before they have an Asian-American president?
Sep 28, 8:42 PMJan 7, 7:59 AM
43.43%chance
17833
OptionVotes
1335
581
OptionVotes
528
19
Is a potential white genocide brewing in South Africa?
Aug 1, 8:42 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
7.32%chance
14573
OptionVotes
462
137
Will South Africa attend the 2026 G20 Summit in the US?
Nov 27, 12:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
42.89%chance
4230
OptionVotes
115
87
South Africa's vanadium production exceeds 10,000 tonnes in 2027?
Nov 26, 5:41 AMFeb 29, 11:59 PM
55.22%chance
4151
OptionVotes
1110
901
What will the final AD cash-deposit rate (Russia-wide entity) be for unwrought palladium?
Feb 16, 5:48 PMOct 31, 5:48 PM
55.95%chance
1127
OptionVotes
1127
887