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Top stories

Atlanta Fed GDPNow Lifts Q3 US Growth Estimate to 3.5%

Atlanta Fed GDPNow Lifts Q3 US Growth Estimate to 3.5%

Authors

14

3 months ago

Fed’s Lisa Cook Sues Trump, Challenging Attempted Firing and Fed Independence

US Gov Appointments

Fed’s Lisa Cook Sues Trump, Challenging Attempted Firing and Fed Independence

Authors

115

3 months ago

Alibaba Shares Jump as Cloud Sales Surge and Home-Grown AI Chip Emerges

Company Earnings

Alibaba Shares Jump as Cloud Sales Surge and Home-Grown AI Chip Emerges

Authors

34

3 months ago

South Korea Plans 8.1% Budget Rise to 728 Trillion Won, 232 Trillion Won Bonds, 4% Deficit, AI Growth Under Lee Jae Myung

Authors

7

3 months ago

US Foreign Policy

US Sends Seven Warships Toward Venezuela, Prompting Regional Rift

Authors

44

3 months ago

India GDP Rises 7.8%, Smashing Forecasts on Public-Spending Surge

Authors

18

3 months ago

US Domestic Policy

Staff Cuts Force EIA to Delay Uranium and Outlook Reports

Authors

3

3 months ago

US Foreign Policy

UN Security Council Sets 2026 Exit Date for Lebanon Peacekeepers

Authors

25

3 months ago

Prediction markets for US

2028 US Presidential Election winner?

Jan 10, 6:40 AMNov 6, 7:59 AM

739813668

OptionProbability

JD Vance

Other

Gavin Newsom

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Pete Buttigieg

Josh Shapiro

No 2028 Election

Kamala Harris

Donald Trump (Sr.)

Marco Rubio

Nikki Haley

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Ron DeSantis

Donald Trump Jr.

Ivanka Trump

Gretchen Whitmer

Mark Kelly

Tulsi Gabbard

Andy Beshear

Tim Walz

Cory Booker

JB Pritzker

Glenn Youngkin

Wes Moore

Ruben Gallego

Elon Musk

Vivek Ramaswamy

Tucker Carlson

Joe Rogan

Kanye West

Tim Scott

Dean Phillips

Jimmy Donaldson(MrBeast)

Greg Abbott

Mike Gallagher

Raphael Warnock

Elissa Slotkin

Tammy Baldwin

Jacky Rosen

Shawn Fain

Abigail Spanberger

Mike Johnson

26

20

17

5

3

3

3

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Who will be the next person to win an election to US House District 11, other than Nancy Pelosi?

Jun 4, 5:21 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

110484229

OptionProbability

Scott Wiener

Connie Chan

Saikat Chakrabarti

Other

Bruce Lou

Christine Pelosi

Jane Kim

London Breed

Nancy Pelosi will live forever and always win

59

18

11

7

1

1

1

1

0

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Jul 18, 4:24 PMNov 8, 5:59 AM

26.41%chance

264384380

OptionVotes

YES

NO

139532

81292

By 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?

Feb 20, 10:31 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

31.32%chance

480364022

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2874

2054

EIA projection for US BEV market share in 2026?

Aug 13, 6:16 PMMar 1, 11:59 PM

9131287

OptionProbability

9 - 10.59%

10.6 - 12.89%

7.0 - 8.99%

0 - 6.99%

12.9 - 100%

31

25

24

11

9

Will fusion provide >2% of US electrical power before 2050?

May 27, 9:10 PMDec 31, 7:11 PM

32.81%chance

6762104

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1027

949

Will JD Vance be nominated for President for the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Jul 18, 5:32 PMJul 2, 4:59 AM

52.22%chance

13352228

OptionVotes

NO

YES

10910

9052

Which political party wins the US presidency in 2028?

Nov 8, 6:22 AMNov 10, 7:59 AM

11141500

OptionProbability

Democratic Party

Republican Party

Other Party

56

43

1

US recession in 2026?

Sep 3, 1:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.42%chance

5830137

OptionVotes

YES

NO

15871

6301

Will someone under 70 be elected US president in 2028?

Jun 12, 6:07 AMNov 7, 7:59 AM

81%chance

13422124

OptionVotes

NO

YES

20397

4969

Will fully autonomous (level 5) self-driving cars be available in a major US city before 2030?

Apr 4, 8:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

86.33%chance

11621255

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5123

1149

Will the 2028 US Presidential election happen normally?

Nov 5, 11:09 AMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

69.77%chance

116660

OptionVotes

NO

YES

15043

6736

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