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Prediction markets for US

Who will be the next person to win an election to US House District 11, other than Nancy Pelosi?

Jun 4, 5:21 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

1631433400

OptionProbability

Scott Wiener

Connie Chan

Bruce Lou

Christine Pelosi

Jane Kim

Nancy Pelosi will live forever and always win

Saikat Chakrabarti

London Breed

Other

2028 US Presidential Election winner?

Jan 10, 6:40 AMNov 6, 7:59 AM

10101296080

OptionProbability

JD Vance

Other

Marco Rubio

Gavin Newsom

Jon Ossoff

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Josh Shapiro

Kamala Harris

Tucker Carlson

Pete Buttigieg

Ron DeSantis

Mark Kelly

Donald Trump (Sr.)

Andy Beshear

JB Pritzker

No 2028 Election

Thomas Massie

Steve Bannon

Nikki Haley

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Vivek Ramaswamy

Joe Rogan

Kanye West

Donald Trump Jr.

Tim Scott

Dean Phillips

Ivanka Trump

Gretchen Whitmer

Tulsi Gabbard

Jimmy Donaldson(MrBeast)

Greg Abbott

Tim Walz

Mike Gallagher

Cory Booker

Raphael Warnock

Glenn Youngkin

Wes Moore

Ruben Gallego

Elissa Slotkin

Tammy Baldwin

Jacky Rosen

Shawn Fain

Abigail Spanberger

Mike Johnson

Elon Musk

By 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?

Feb 20, 10:31 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

35.46%chance

630671922

OptionVotes

YES

5352

4554

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Jul 18, 4:24 PMNov 8, 5:59 AM

18.9%chance

375611050

OptionVotes

YES

182360

69007

Which political party wins the US presidency in 2028?

Nov 8, 6:22 AMNov 10, 7:59 AM

210151951

OptionProbability

Democratic Party

Republican Party

Other Party

US recession in 2026?

Sep 3, 1:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.24%chance

134105080

OptionVotes

YES

29636

3379

Will JD Vance be nominated for President for the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Jul 18, 5:32 PMJul 2, 4:59 AM

42.92%chance

16881930

OptionVotes

YES

11014

9132

Will there be troops or federal agents at US voting booths in 2026 or 2028?

Feb 3, 9:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

58.98%chance

25979322

OptionVotes

YES

9468

4190

Will fusion provide >2% of US electrical power before 2050?

May 27, 9:10 PMDec 31, 7:11 PM

35.64%chance

7262178

OptionVotes

YES

992

946

Will someone under 70 be elected US president in 2028?

Jun 12, 6:07 AMNov 7, 7:59 AM

83.66%chance

14024376

OptionVotes

YES

22394

4541

5% more men than women in the US by 2055?

Jul 13, 5:48 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.84%chance

1010217

OptionVotes

YES

20101

4975

Will the 2028 US Presidential election happen normally?

Nov 5, 11:09 AMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

66.51%chance

157268

OptionVotes

YES

13935

7254

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Aug 19, 2025
Middle East
Belarus
Armenia
Iran’s President Pezeshkian Signs Ten Agreements in Armenia, Opposes US Corridor, Meets Lukashenko to Boost Military Cooperation
Authors
14
1 year ago
Aug 19, 2025
Aug 19, 2025
Economics
Business
Atlanta Fed GDPNow Trims Q3 US Growth View to 2.3%
Authors
5
1 year ago
Aug 19, 2025
Aug 19, 2025
Middle East
War
Politics
Iran’s Revolutionary Guard Emerges Stronger After 12-Day War With Israel Despite Air Defenses Loss, Readiness Up, Eyes China Jets
Authors
6
1 year ago
Aug 19, 2025
Aug 19, 2025
India
Economics
Stocks
Jefferies Maintains Buy Ratings with Target Prices as Rupee Hits 86.95/USD Amid Sovereign Upgrade and GST Optimism
Authors
10
1 year ago
Aug 19, 2025
Aug 19, 2025
Russia
Infosec
Blockchains
Microsoft Warns of PipeMagic as Storm-2460 Hits IT; Russia’s Secret Blizzard, SAP Flaws, GodRAT, and Solana Developers Targeted
Authors
6
1 year ago
Aug 19, 2025
Aug 19, 2025
Energy
Business
Environment
Woodside Seeks Partner With 20–30% Sale in $17.5 B Louisiana LNG Project
Authors
4
1 year ago
Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18, 2025
Russia
War
US Foreign Policy
Trump Says First Lady Melania's Letter to Putin, Expressing Love for Children and Desire to End War, Was Well Received
Authors
7
1 year ago
Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18, 2025
Pakistan
Economics
Business
Pakistani Rupee Edges to 282.02 per Dollar on Modest Buying
Authors
3
1 year ago
Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18, 2025
Ukraine
War
US Foreign Policy
President Trump Confident in Resolving Ukraine Conflict, Dismisses "Lightweight and Very Jealous" Critics Saying "I Always Do"
Authors
7
1 year ago

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