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Prediction markets for Academy Award
Will a movie made entirely by artificial intelligence win an Academy Award by 2030?
Jan 12, 12:55 PMApr 1, 3:59 AM
5.36%chance
302674
OptionVotes
2456
841
Will a High Frame Rate film win an Academy Award before 2030?
Jul 15, 9:23 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
39.36%chance
321716
OptionVotes
1191
841
Will there be a new youngest winner for the Academy Awards Oscar for Best Actor by April 1st 2029? (29 years old)
Dec 13, 5:48 AMApr 2, 3:59 AM
33.6%chance
251137
OptionVotes
1538
507
By 2040, will a superhero movie win an academy award for best picture?
Feb 17, 2:54 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
16.41%chance
27766
OptionVotes
1424
879
Will a Bollywood or other Indian cinema movie win Best Picture at the Oscars / Academy Awards before the end of 2050?
Mar 25, 9:18 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
51.26%chance
23618
OptionVotes
1162
810
Will "The AI Doc: Or How I Became an Apocaloptimist" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 2027 Academy Award
Mar 27, 6:17 AMMar 21, 11:59 PM
41.57%chance
7506
OptionVotes
1186
843
Will there be an Academy Award for stunt men by the end of 2030?
May 5, 4:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
94.9%chance
7417
OptionVotes
431
23
Will a film directed by a female director win the Academy Award for Best Director before 2028?
Jan 21, 4:53 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
37.15%chance
10280
OptionVotes
217
71
Will Ralph Fiennes win the Academy Award Oscar for for Best Actor by the end of 2029?
May 3, 4:07 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
10.91%chance
4189
OptionVotes
286
35
How many films from the 2026 Cannes Film Festival Competition will receive an Academy Award nomination?
May 23, 11:40 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
266
OptionProbability
20
20
20
20
20
OptionVotes
139
92
Will a movie win the 'best musical' academy award before the end of May 2030?
Jun 26, 8:38 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM
39.66%chance
426
OptionVotes
123
81
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