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Top stories

Insta360 Debuts Go Ultra Camera, Boosting 4K Action Capture

Insta360 Debuts Go Ultra Camera, Boosting 4K Action Capture

Authors

6

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Active

What's the average IQ of active manifold users? (PERMANENT)

Apr 27, 8:33 PMDec 27, 10:59 PM

56.58%chance

141101372

OptionProbability

NO

YES

1447

1232

Bluesky active users in December 2026

May 23, 8:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9679617

OptionProbability

Above 1 million

Above 2 million

Above 5 million

Above 10 million

Above 50 million

Above 100 million

38

10

4

3

1

1

Manifold Monthly Active Traders at end of 2027

Jan 1, 10:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5025348

OptionProbability

At least 2,000

At least 5,000

At least 10,000

At least 20,000

91

54

17

13

How many active mana traders will Manifold have (7 day average) at the end of 2026?

Sep 15, 8:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2411118

OptionProbability

Above 800

Above 1000

Above 1200

Above 1400

Above 1600

Above 1800

58

48

26

13

7

5

How active will the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season be?

May 2, 5:37 AMNov 30, 11:59 PM

319617

OptionProbability

Below normal (2.53 < ACE < 73)

Near-normal ( 73 < ACE < 126.1)

Above normal (126.1 < ACE < 159.6)

Hyperactive (ACE > 159.6)

Record low (ACE < 2.53)

Record high (ACE > 258.47)

69

21

6

2

1

0

Will EA community deploy and actively use a DAO by 2027?

Apr 24, 6:59 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.56%chance

543879

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2874

387

Will more than half the US population actively work with AI daily by 2027?

Apr 14, 3:22 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

44%chance

632967

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1078

855

Will an active male 1. Bundesliga player come out as homosexual / bi / queer before 2030?

May 31, 11:07 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

74.76%chance

201911

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1721

581

Will Mastodon have more Monthly Active Users than Twitter in 2030?

Nov 25, 9:28 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

18%chance

331723

OptionVotes

NO

YES

999

822

Will the US have 200,000 overseas active-duty military personnel before 2030?

Feb 6, 4:39 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

55.84%chance

301176

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1085

858

Will non violent climate activism be prosecuted as terrorism by 2026?

Jan 15, 4:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

30%chance

20808

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1002

990

Will I be active in 2030 to resolve my turn of the decade president market?

Dec 26, 2:11 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

49.56%chance

9295

OptionVotes

NO

YES

144

109

Latest stories

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Aug 21, 2025
Aug 21, 2025
Wearables
AI Products
Tech
Insta360 Debuts Go Ultra Camera, Boosting 4K Action Capture
Authors
6
1 year ago

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