AI Action Plan News

5 months ago

Will I touch a “2026” penny in 2026?

Feb 10, 7:57 PMJan 1, 8:05 AM

17.55%chance

141436

OptionVotes

YES

2168

461

2030 – 4. “Agents” and “AGI” will be outdated terms that are no longer widely used.

Mar 11, 12:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

26.97%chance

251329

OptionVotes

YES

1017

852

Is it possible to "hack" an average human into performing arbitrary behaviors?

Dec 25, 12:18 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

35.54%chance

17971

OptionVotes

YES

1118

699

Will AGI create a consensus among experts on how to safely increase AI capabilities?

Mar 12, 8:26 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

34.82%chance

11970

OptionVotes

YES

1368

731

Yann LeCun's new AI startup reaches $100M+ valuation by end of 2027?

Nov 20, 8:19 PMDec 31, 4:59 AM

68.91%chance

19761

OptionVotes

YES

149

Leading AI lab spends $100k+ on remote worker training data before 2028?

Apr 20, 3:56 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

86.02%chance

13293

OptionVotes

YES

248

When will Brave browser's Leo have agentic capacities?

Jan 21, 9:03 PMJan 21, 9:03 PM

2225

OptionProbability

After

Before Oct 2026

Before Jul 2026

Before Apr 2026

[Carlini questions] Majority of consumer AI applications will operate autonomously on multi-step tasks by year

Mar 24, 2:19 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

570

OptionProbability

By 1st Jan 2030

By 1st Jan 2029

By 1st Jan 2028

By 1st Jan 2027

By 1st Jan 2026

Is Sora a "tool AI"?

Feb 19, 9:06 AM

150

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Will I touch a “2026” penny in 2026?

2030 – 4. “Agents” and “AGI” will be outdated terms that are no longer widely used.

Is it possible to "hack" an average human into performing arbitrary behaviors?

Will AGI create a consensus among experts on how to safely increase AI capabilities?

Yann LeCun's new AI startup reaches $100M+ valuation by end of 2027?

Leading AI lab spends $100k+ on remote worker training data before 2028?

When will Brave browser's Leo have agentic capacities?

[Carlini questions] Majority of consumer AI applications will operate autonomously on multi-step tasks by year

Is Sora a "tool AI"?

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